Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Figures and Tables
- Acknowledgments
- PART ONE THEORY AND METHODOLOGY
- PART TWO CONTINGENT SELECTION AND SYSTEMATIC EFFECTS: COUNTRY-LEVEL ANALYSES OF ELITE SELECTION, IDEATIONAL CHANGE, AND INSTITUTIONAL CHOICE, 1991–2000
- PART THREE COMPARING CASES
- 9 Alternative Explanations and Statistical Tests
- 10 Smoking Guns: A Causal History of Institutional Choice
- 11 Conclusions and Implications of the Analysis
- Appendix A Measurement and Coding of Economic Ideas – Additional Tests
- Appendix B Interviews Conducted by the Author
- Bibliography
- Index
10 - Smoking Guns: A Causal History of Institutional Choice
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 29 July 2009
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Figures and Tables
- Acknowledgments
- PART ONE THEORY AND METHODOLOGY
- PART TWO CONTINGENT SELECTION AND SYSTEMATIC EFFECTS: COUNTRY-LEVEL ANALYSES OF ELITE SELECTION, IDEATIONAL CHANGE, AND INSTITUTIONAL CHOICE, 1991–2000
- PART THREE COMPARING CASES
- 9 Alternative Explanations and Statistical Tests
- 10 Smoking Guns: A Causal History of Institutional Choice
- 11 Conclusions and Implications of the Analysis
- Appendix A Measurement and Coding of Economic Ideas – Additional Tests
- Appendix B Interviews Conducted by the Author
- Bibliography
- Index
Summary
One extraneous movement is sufficient to smash the vase into thousands of pieces.
Colossal efforts are needed to glue it back together.
Nigmatzhan Isingarin, first deputy prime minister of KazakhstanThe evidence presented in the previous chapter demonstrates that there is a strong association between economic ideas and institutional choices that is very unlikely to have occurred by chance. But as important as it is to demonstrate that ideas and institutions are closely associated, it is vital to demonstrate precisely how they are tied, and to show that the economic ideas did not merely coincide with the institutions, but were directly implicated in the decisions of leading government officials to create, join, or reject different international economic institutions. To do this, we need to deepen our investigation – to identify the key actors, demonstrate their motivations and intentions, and draw on subtle patterns in the timing and sequence of events to show causation.
The purpose of this chapter is to draw on a broad range of data sources – wherever possible relying on internal government documents and direct interviews with officials – to reconstruct the process by which institutional choices were made across the decade as a whole. In a region where most governments still place a premium on secrecy, it is no small task to trace the process by which critical decisions were made.
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- Information
- Economic Liberalism and Its RivalsThe Formation of International Institutions among the Post-Soviet States, pp. 261 - 305Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2009