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How well do vignette designs capture actual behaviour in the real world? This study employs original survey data featuring both hypothetical vignettes and behavioural questions in order to assess the external validity of descriptive and causal inferences in survey experiments. The survey was conducted in a three-province, probability-proportional-to-size sample of 1,897 rural residents in China and focuses on the legal mobilization of citizens in response to grievances involving land rights. In terms of descriptive inference, we find that relative to the behavioural benchmark, hypothetical vignettes significantly over-estimate legal mobilization in response to a grievance, particularly for higher-cost actions like petitioning the government and litigating in court. We find that data from hypothetical vignettes affect causal inference as well, producing significantly different results regarding the effect of political connections and legal knowledge on legal mobilization. The study makes a contribution by identifying conditions under which hypothetical vignettes are less likely to produce valid inference. It engages a rich literature on disputing and legal mobilization in the field of Chinese politics and helps to resolve debates over the role of political connections and legal knowledge.
The National Visitor Use Monitoring (NVUM) program data underlies estimates of the volume of recreation use of the National Forest System. The data also enable estimation of both the local economic contributions and nonmarket benefits of that visitation. Applications include evaluating the effects of natural disasters, site characteristics, and climate change, as well as expenditure and benefit transfers. This article describes the history and science background of the NVUM program, outlines the methods used in estimating market and nonmarket economic outcomes, and lists some examples of results found in the literature.
The Chengdu Plain is an agroecosystem that depends on the Dujiangyan (Capital River Weir) for its functioning. This system has been sustained at high levels of productivity for more than two thousand years, experiencing only a few disturbances that have disrupted its functioning. Integrating field and documentary research on ecological, market, and governance factors, this article discusses the remarkable resilience of this system from the late Qing to the present and identifies current threats to its resilience. When the ecology consists of patchy and diverse landscapes, markets allow for adaptation through exchange, and governance includes cross-cutting sources of authority and flexible property regimes, the ecosystem is more resilient—that is, better able to withstand disturbances and maintain its basic functions.
Early childhood education and care (ECEC) policies and services in Canada exhibit marked gaps in access, creating ‘childcare deserts’ and distributional disadvantages. Cognate family policies that support children and families, such as parental leave and child benefits, are also underdeveloped. This article examines the current state of ECEC services in Canada and the reasons behind the uncoordinated array of services and policy, namely, a liberal welfare state tradition that historically has encouraged private and market-based care, a comparatively decentralised federal system that militates against coordinated policy-making, and a welfare state built on gendered assumptions about care work. The article assesses recent government initiatives, including the federal 2017 Multilateral Framework on Early Learning and Child Care, concluding that existing federal and provincial initiatives have limited potential to bring about paradigmatic third-order change.
Recent proposals suggest early adversity sets in motion particularly chronic and neurobiologically distinct trajectories of internalizing symptoms. However, few prospective studies in high-risk samples delineate distinct trajectories of internalizing symptoms from preschool age onward. We examined trajectories in a high-risk cohort, oversampled for internalizing symptoms, several preschool risk/maintenance factors, and school-age outcomes. Parents of 325 children completed the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire on up to four waves of data collection from preschool (3–5 years) to school age (8–9 years) and Preschool Age Psychiatric Assessment interviews at both ages. Multi-informant data were collected on risk factors and symptoms. Growth mixture modelling identified four trajectory classes of internalizing symptoms with stable low, rising low-to-moderate, stable moderate, and stable high symptoms. Children in the stable high symptom trajectory manifested clinically relevant internalizing symptoms, mainly diagnosed with anxiety disorders/depression at preschool and school age. Trajectories differed regarding loss/separation experience, maltreatment, maternal psychopathology, temperament, and stress-hormone regulation with loss/separation, temperament, maternal psychopathology, and stress-hormone regulation (trend) significantly contributing to explained variance. At school age, trajectories continued to differ on symptoms, disorders, and impairment. Our study is among the first to show that severe early adversity may trigger a chronic and neurobiologically distinct internalizing trajectory from preschool age onward.
Generation of high-quality evidence on medical devices through clinical trials can be challenging. The United Kingdom's National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) has developed a research commissioning framework for producing clinical evidence where gaps in the literature prevent definitive recommendations in their medical technology guidance and diagnostics guidance. The research commissioning framework involves NICE's external assessment centers collaborating with clinical researchers to secure funding and to design, conduct, and publish a study to address research recommendations within 3 years of guidance publications. We aimed to describe the early results of the framework.
METHODS:
Publically available information and results from an informal survey of NICE's external assessment centers were reviewed.
RESULTS:
As of December 2016, NICE has published a total of thirty medical technology guidance topics and twenty-four diagnostics guidance topics, five and twenty of which have research recommendations, respectively. A total of fourteen research commissioning framework-facilitated projects have been initiated. Two research projects have successfully secured external funding for a clinical trial: (i) non-contact low frequency ultrasound therapy for wound healing; and (ii) Parafricta bootees for pressure ulcer prevention. Further projects have produced published outputs without external funding. Four projects have been completed and undergone guidance review; one guidance topic was withdrawn and three have been transferred to the “static list”. Early experiences of NICE's research commissioning framework suggest that securing financial support from manufacturers or funding bodies for interventional clinical trials to answer single technology research questions within a short time frame is challenging but possible. The value of early feasibility studies to assess the likelihood of obtaining funding and of addressing NICE's research recommendations was recognised.
CONCLUSIONS:
NICE can facilitate independent research through its research commissioning framework initiative. Securing funding has proved challenging but recent successes have shown that approach is possible. Outputs which fill the evidence gap to an extent where a definitive guidance update is possible have been rare.
Through two rounds of land contracting, rural households have been allocated a bundle of rights in land. We observe significant differences across villages in the amount of land to which villagers retain a claim and the institutional mechanisms governing the exchange of land rights. This study reveals the perpetuation and expansion of non-market mechanisms accruing to the benefit of village cadres and state officials and only limited emergence of market mechanisms in which households are primary beneficiaries. It identifies factors in economic, political and legal domains that incentivize and enable state officials and local cadres to capture returns from use of land. Relatedly, the study finds differences in conflict over property-rights regimes. Drawing on a pilot survey carried out by the authors in November of 2011 in Shaanxi and Jiangsu provinces (192 households in 24 villages), this paper seeks to explain heterogeneity and change in property-rights regimes over time and across space.
In this appendix, we explore the issue of the brain's coding system in more depth. As noted in the main text, Uttal (2016) makes a key distinction between signs and codes. Signs are merely neurophysiological phenomena that appear to correlate with psychological processes; a code is the actual mechanism by means by which the brain ‘works’. The event-related potential (ERP), the subject of the first author's PhD research, provides a pertinent example of this distinction. The ERP is a slow perturbation in the ongoing EEG activity of the brain which is evoked by a single stimulus, such as a click or a flash. A typical ERP is shown in figure 5: it consists of a series of waves which unfold over the half second or so (500 ms) after the stimulus. By convention, negative is shown upwards, and the waves are accordingly known as P1, N1, and so on.
At that time, the dominant model of human cognition was to see the brain as an information processing system, typically represented as a block diagram involving a number of modules: for perception, attention and memory (figure 5). It was naturally tempting to think of the block diagram as a functional model of mind–brain architecture, and when juxtaposed with the ERP to speculate that perhaps the orderly progression of peaks and troughs in the waveform reflects the sequential activation of ‘cognitive modules’ in the brain.
The PhD examined the relationship between the amplitude of the N1–P2 complex of the ERP and the amount of information conveyed by the stimulus. In a key experiment, the research showed that when the quantity of (temporal) information in two stimuli was equated, no amplitude effects were found (Wastell, 1979a). The evidence was seemingly convincing. However, in that experiment, there was a further condition; the subjects were asked to relax and ignore the stimuli completely, rather than produce a reaction time response as in the main condition. Under these circumstances, the amplitude of N1–P2 was actually greater, even though no information was being processed at all. The seductively appealing idea that the amplitude of peaks in ERP waveform reflects the degree of information processing by ‘brain structures’ was thus contradicted by an inconvenient empirical result.
Must we then give up fathoming the depths of life? Must we keep to that mechanistic idea of it which the understanding will always give us – an idea necessarily artificial and symbolical, since it makes the total activity of life shrink to the form of a certain human activity which is only a partial and local manifestation of life, a result or by-product of the vital process? (Bergson, Creative Evolution, p xii)
We have argued throughout the book that attempts to fathom the depths of life by examining our flesh and blood create new opportunities and imperatives for the State. Through developments in biotechnology, the moral domains of deviance, normality, crime and punishment, even the making of socially useful human capital, can potentially be turned into technical matters to be sorted and shaped. Prevention and surveillance go under the skin and into the womb. We have shown how processes within scientific communities affect the ways in which findings from animal studies may be applied to human populations. Citation practices, for example, critically affect what is asked in subsequent research, and contestable findings can become rewritten as fundamental truths. Thus, research becomes ‘path dependent’, a furrow is ploughed, cow-paths are paved and commitment to a particular knowledge quest escalates. The research funding follows and makes the rut longer and deeper, the ‘facts’ get made, told and retold; the memes reproduce themselves. The structures that are created, constrain more than they enable.
In this final chapter, we raise questions about whether the neurological and molecular levels, the actions and processes within and between cells, are the most rich and appropriate domains to guide the actions of the State. The consequences of the prevailing moral and scientific settlements, we will argue, are that preferred policy responses are individualised and increasingly medicalised. A preoccupation with prevention, early intervention and particular forms of evidence are squeezing out conversations about different, and potentially more desirable and sustainable, actions to make people's lives better. Choices are being made about who to help, who needs to change and how money is spent on creating a better world. Notions of vulnerability and damage are double edged; possibly more resources flow, but these dispensations are conditional on ‘compliance’, ‘engagement’ and surveillance.
In this chapter, we begin with a brief introduction to the recent developments in the biological sciences. We go on to examine how these are joining with older projects to improve the human condition. We review the origins of these projects in the natural yearning for a utopia, free from misery, disorder and disease. We then trace the ascendency of developmental psychology and ‘infant determinism’ which has always been a key part of the project of human improvement.
The application of molecular biology and neuroscience to the treatment of diseases such as cancer or Parkinson's disease may be relatively morally uncontroversial, but we are seeing a shift in the range of matters to which biological understandings are being applied. This is why the exploration of their translation into policy and practice is so pressing. The ‘neuro’ prefix, for example, is now applied to disciplines as disparate as economics, the law, aesthetics, pedagogy, theology and organisational behaviour. The term ‘neuromania’ has been coined (Legrenzi and Umilta, 2011; Tallis, 2011) to refer to this proliferation.
Although some critics have lampooned this ebullience, speaking flippantly of parts of the brain ‘lighting up’ in overly simplistic laboratory experiments, there are many, very real implications in seeing the human condition in this way. Social policy is making increasingly significant use of neuroscientific evidence to warrant particular claims about both the potentialities and vulnerabilities of early childhood, and the proper responses of the State to these. Neuroscience is also making its mark in the area of criminal justice, where it often appears to offer ‘liberalising’ benefits: developmental neuroscience has been used, for example, to make the case for raising the age of criminal responsibility. However, alongside these apparently progressive trends, there lies the seductive (and somewhat sinister) idea that violent crime can be attributed to a small group of intrinsically aggressive individuals, and that neuroimaging (or genetics) can yield ‘biomarkers’ which may be used to identify risky people and to ‘target’ interventions at them. This potentially prefigures a future in which new biological technologies play an increasing role in pre-emptively isolating risky subgroups and identifying how to prevent their predicted deviance.
Healed the abyss of torpid instinct and trifling flux, Laundered it, lighted it, made it lovable with Cathedrals and theories
W.H. Auden, The Age of Anxiety
In this first chapter of Part II, we switch register and examine the way biological thinking is merging and melding with the project of human improvement. Here, we review recent policy, tracing the ways in which neuroscience, in particular, has been invoked to relocate an older moral project on the high hard ground of scientific rationality. The previous chapter reviewed the fields of biological psychiatry and examined the potential impact of a neuro-developmental thought style. We argued that, for all its sound and fury, surprisingly few killer insights have been produced. In this chapter, we explore the emergence of a preventive mindset in social policy: if only we could get things right in the first few years of life, madness, badness and all manner of vexing social problems, including poverty, would be effectively nipped in the bud. In chapter one, we referred to Valentine, Valentine et al's (1975) critique of the theory of sociogenic brain damage. Despite such critique, the idea of impairment to the infant brain has proved appealing and very hard-wearing to politicians, policy makers, academics and reformers of both conservative and liberal mindsets, as it promises to explain intergenerational social disadvantage. It has been a potent myth.
The Valentines’ trenchant objections to the thesis of sociogenic brain damage, and its associated theology, took place at a time when neuroscientific understandings of the impacts of environment on brain development were alluringly novel. Since the 1970s, there has been an explosion of brain science and, as we have noted, it is now exerting a strong influence on mainstream social policy. Significant use of neuroscientific evidence is being made to warrant claims about the irreversible vulnerabilities of early childhood and the proper responses of the State. There is a particular emphasis on the promotion of ‘targeted early intervention’ to enhance the lives of disadvantaged children. Sociogenic brain damage is back in the technicolour, bewitching detail of fMRI imagery. The ‘damaged’ infant brain, or rather the promise of social improvement implied by the optimisation of its development, is popular across the political gamut.