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Predicting suitable habitat for the endangered plant Cephalotaxus oliveri Mast. in China

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 October 2022

Chunping Xie
Affiliation:
Biology Department of Sciences College, Qiongtai Normal University, Haikou 571127, China
Boyang Huang
Affiliation:
College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China
CY Jim*
Affiliation:
Department of Social Sciences, Education University of Hong Kong, Tai Po, Hong Kong, China
Dawei Liu
Affiliation:
Nanjing Forest Police College, Nanjing 210023, China
Chang Liu
Affiliation:
Nanjing Institute for Comprehensive Utilization of Wild Plants, China CO-OP, Nanjing 211111, China
Zhenxiang Zhu
Affiliation:
Nanjing Forest Police College, Nanjing 210023, China
*
Author for correspondence: Professor CY Jim, Email: cyjim@eduhk.hk

Summary

The coniferous shrub Oliver’s plum yew (Cephalotaxus oliveri) is endemic to southern China with potential medicinal use for cancer treatment and ecological value in sustaining China’s threatened subtropical forest ecosystems. Comprehensive understanding of the current spatial patterns of this vulnerable species vis-à-vis climatic conditions is crucial for its sustained economic use and conservation. Based on 100 reliable occurrence records and nine environmental variables, MaxEnt and QGIS programs were used to predict the potential geographical distribution of C. oliveri in China. Combined with percentage contribution and permutation importance, the jackknife statistical method was used to test and evaluate pertinent factors restricting the potential distribution of C. oliveri. The response curves of critical bioclimatic factors were employed to determine the potential species range. The current core potential distribution areas were concentrated in China’s central and south-west regions. Temperature was identified as the crucial determinant of species distribution patterns, particularly the mean temperature of the coldest quarter. Precipitation was a necessary but not critical secondary factor. These findings should inform the ex situ conservation and cultivation of C. oliveri in China and its introduction to other parts of the world for similar purposes.

Type
Research Paper
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Foundation for Environmental Conservation

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