Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-8bhkd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-17T14:50:44.995Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

International Trade and Foreign Direct Investment: Substitutes or Complements?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2015

Mary A. Marchant
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Kentucky, Lexington
Dyana N. Cornell
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Kentucky, Lexington
Won Koo
Affiliation:
Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics, North Dakota State University, Fargo

Abstract

International agricultural trade has evolved over time. Processed foods and developing countries have become major growth markets for U.S. agricultural exports, and foreign direct investment (FDI) has become even more important than exports as a means of accessing foreign markets. The critical question is whether FDI is a substitute for or a complement of exports. This research builds upon an existing theoretical FDI model and contributes to the literature through the development of a simultaneous equation system for FDI and exports, which is estimated using two-stage least squares. Empirical analyses were used to examine the relationship between U.S. FDI and exports of processed foods into East Asian countries-China, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan-from 1989 to 1998. The results indicated a complementary relationship between FDI and exports. Additionally, these results indicated that interest rates, exchange rates, gross domestic product (GDP), and compensation rates are important variables that influence U.S. FDI in East Asian countries, while GDP, exchange rates, and export prices are important export determinants.

Type
Invited Paper Sessions
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2002

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Bajo-Rubio, O., and Sosvilla-Rivero, S.. “An Econometric Analysis of Foreign Direct Investment in Spain, 1964-89.” Southern Economic Journal 61(July 1994):104-20.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barrell, R., and Pain, N.. “An Econometric Analysis of U.S. Foreign Direct Investment.” Review of Economics and Statistics 78(May 1996):200-7.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bolling, C., and Somwaru, A.. “U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Foreign Food Industries.” Paper presented at the American Agricultural Economic Association Annual Meeting, Tampa, FL, July 30-August 2, 2000.Google Scholar
Bolling, C., and Somwaru, A.. “U.S. Food Companies Access Foreign Markets Through Direct Investment.” Food Review 24,3(2001):2328.Google Scholar
Carter, C.A., and Yilmaz, A.. “Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Trade—Substitutes or Complements? An Application to the Processed Food Industry.” Paper presented at the American Agricultural Economic Association Annual Meeting, Nashville, TN, August 8-11, 1999.Google Scholar
Connor, J.Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment by Food and Tobacco Manufacturers.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 65(1983):394404.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davidson, R., and Mackinnon, J.G.. Estimation and Inference in Econometrics. New York: Oxford University Press, 1993.Google Scholar
Dunning, J.Explaining International Production. London: Unwin Hyman, 1988.Google Scholar
Edmondson, W., and Jones, V.. “Processed Food Trade Deficit Continues in 2000.” Food Review 24,3(2001):914.Google Scholar
Gopinath, M., Pick, D., and Vasavada, U.. “Exchange Rate Effects on the Relationship Between FDI and Trade in the U.S. Food Processing Industry.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 80,5(1998):1073-79.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gopinath, M., Pick, D., and Vasavada, U.. “The Economics of Foreign Direct Investment and Trade with an Application to the U.S. Food Processing Industry.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 81(May 1999):442-52.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Graham, E.M.The Relationship Between Trade and Foreign Direct Investment in the Manufacturing Sector: Empirical Results for the United States and Japan. Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics, 1996.Google Scholar
Henderson, D.R., Handy, C.R., and Neff, S.A.. Globalization of the Processed Foods Market. Agricultural Economic Report 742. Washington, DC: USDA-ERS, September 1996.Google Scholar
Hymer, S.H.The International Operations of National Firms: A Study of Direct Foreign Investment. Cambridge: MIT Press, 1976.Google Scholar
International Monetary Fund (IMF). International Financial Statistic Yearbook. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund, 2000.Google Scholar
International Monetary Fund (IMF). Market Access for Developing Countries' Exports. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund, April 27, 2001.Google Scholar
International Monetary Fund (IMF). World Economic and Financial Surveys: The World Economic Outlook Database. Internet site: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2000/02/data/index.htm (Accessed 2002).Google Scholar
Kojima, K.International Trade and Foreign Investment: Substitutes or Complements.” Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics 16(1975):112.Google Scholar
Lipsey, R.E., and Weiss, M.Y.. “Foreign Production and Exports in Manufacturing Industries.” Review of Economics and Statistics 63 (November 1981):488-94.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lipsey, R.E., and Weiss, M.Y.. “Foreign Production and Exports of Individual Firms.” Review of Economics and Statistics 66(1984):304-8.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Malanoski, M., Handy, C., and Henderson, D.. “Time Dependent Relationship in U.S. Processed Food Trade and Foreign Direct Investment.” Foreign Direct Investment and Processed Food Trade. Henneberry, S.R., ed., chapter 1. Conference proceedings of NCR-182, “Organization and Performance of World Food Systems,” Oklahoma State University, 1997.Google Scholar
Marchant, M., Saghaian, S., and Vickner, S.. “Trade and Foreign Direct Investment Management Strategies for U.S. Processed Food Firms in China.” International Food and Agribusiness Management Review 2,2(1999):131-43.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mundell, R.A.International Trade and Factor Mobility.” American Economic Review 47(1957):321-35.Google Scholar
Munirathinam, R., Marchant, M.A., and Reed, M.R.. “The Canada U.S. Free Trade Agreement: Competitive Tradeoffs Between Foreign Direct Investment and Trade.” International Advances in Economic Research 3,3(August 1997):312-24.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ning, Y., and Reed, M.R.. “Locational Determinants of the U.S. Direct Foreign Investment in Food and Kindred Products.” Agribusiness 11,1(1995):7785.3.0.CO;2-0>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Overend, C., Connor, J.M., and Salin, V.. “Foreign Direct Investment and U.S. Exports of Processed Foods: Complements or Substitutes?Foreign Direct Investment and Processed Food Trade. Henneberry, S.R., ed., chapter 2. Conference proceedings of NCR-182 “Organization and Performance of World Food Systems,” Oklahoma State University, March 1997.Google Scholar
Pagoulatos, E.FDI in United States Food and Tobacco Manufacturing and Domestic Economic Performance.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 65(1983):405-11.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Penson, J., Capps, O., and Rosson, P.. Introduction to Agricultural Economics, 3rd ed. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 2002.Google Scholar
Pfaffermayr, M.Foreign Direct Investment and Exports: Time Series Approach.” Journal of Applied Economics 26(1994):337-51.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pompelli, G.FDI and Trade in the U.S. Agribusiness Industry: Discussion.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 80,5(1998):1087-88.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Reed, M.R.International Trade in Agricultural Products. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 2001.Google Scholar
Regmi, A., and Gehlhar, M.. “Consumer Preferences and Concerns Shape Global Food Trade.” Food Review 24,3(2001):28.Google Scholar
Rugman, A.M.Multinationals and Canada—United States Free Trade. Columbia, SC: University of South Carolina Press, 1990.Google Scholar
Ruppel, E.J.Determinants of U.S. Exports of Processed Foods: An Empirical Examination Using Pooled Data.” Paper presented at the 1997 Kentucky Economic Association Conference, Lexington, KY, October 1997.Google Scholar
SAS Institute Inc. SAS User's Guide: Statistics, Version 6 ed. Cary, NC: SAS Circle, 1988.Google Scholar
Somwaru, A., and Boiling, C.. “U.S. Foreign Direct Investment and Trade: Substitutes or Complements? The Case of the Food Processing Industry.” Selected paper, American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Nashville, TN, August 8-11, 1999.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service (USDA-ERS). International Agriculture. Internet site: http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/data-sets/international/ (Accessed 2002a).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service (USDA-ERS). U.S. Agricultural Trade. Internet site: http://www.ers.usda.gov/briefing/AgTrade/usagriculturaltrade.htm (Accessed 2002b).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service (USDA-ERS), Markets and Trade Division. Processed Food Data. Washington, DC: USDA-ERS, Spring 2001.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Export SIC Codes — 1, 2, 3, and 4 Digit. Internet site: http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/schedules/misc/esic.txt (Accessed 2002).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). U.S. Direct Investment Abroad: Operations of Parent Companies and Their Affiliates. Annual Reports. Internet site: http://www.bea.doc.gov/ (Accessed 2002).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Internet site: http://www.bls.gov/data/ (Accessed 2002).Google Scholar
Vernon, R.International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 80(1966):190207.CrossRefGoogle Scholar