Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-t5pn6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-25T04:37:39.964Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Estimation of the dynamics and rate of transmission of classical swine fever (hog cholera) in wild pigs

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 May 2009

J. Hone ,
R. Pech  and
P. Yip
J. Hone
Affiliation:
Applied Ecology Research Group, University of Canberra, PO Box 1, Belconnen 2616, Australia
R. Pech
Affiliation:
CSIRO Division of Wildlife and Ecology, PO Box 84, Lyneham 2602, Australia
P. Yip
Affiliation:
Department of Statistics, La Trobe University, Bundoora 3083, Australia Department of Statistics, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Summary

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

Infectious diseases establish in a population of wildlife hosts when the number of secondary infections is greater than or equal to one. To estimate whether establishment will occur requires extensive experience or a mathematical model of disease dynamics and estimates of the parameters of the disease model. The latter approach is explored here. Methods for estimating key model parameters, the transmission coefficient (β) and the basic reproductive rate (RDRS), are described using classical swine fever (hog cholera) in wild pigs as an example. The tentative results indicate that an acute infection of classical swine fever will establish in a small population of wild pigs. Data required for estimation of disease transmission rates are reviewed and sources of bias and alternative methods discussed. A comprehensive evaluation of the biases and efficiencies of the methods is needed.

Type
Research Article
Information
Epidemiology & Infection , Volume 108 , Issue 2 , April 1992 , pp. 377 - 386
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1992

References

REFERENCES

1.Bailey, NTJ. The mathematical theory of infectious diseases and its applications, 2nd ed.New York: Hafner Press. 1975.Google Scholar
2.Anderson, RM, May, RM. Population biology of infectious diseases. Part I. Nature 1979; 280: 361–7.Google Scholar
3.Yip, P. Estimating the initial relative infection rate for a stochastic epidemic model. Theor Pop Biol 1989; 36: 202–13.Google Scholar
4.Hone, J, Bryant, H. Eradication of feral pigs in a hypothetical outbreak of foot and mouth disease at Newcastle. NSW. In: Fowler, M ed. Wildlife diseases of the pacific basin and other countries. Sydney 1981: 79–84.Google Scholar
5.Wilson, GR, O'Brien, PH. Wildlife and exotic animal disease emergencies in Australia: planning an effective response to an outbreak. Disaster Manage 1989; 1: 30–5.Google Scholar
6.O'Brien, PH. Introduced animals and exotic disease: assessing the potential risk and appropriate response. Aust Yet J 1989; 66: 382–5.Google Scholar
7.Komarov, BA, Bogatskii, EK. Classical swine fever prophylaxis in wild boar. Veterinariia 1980; 80/8: 37–9.Google Scholar
8.van Oirschot, JT. Hog cholera. In: Leman, AD, Straw, B, Glock, RD, Mengeling, WL, Penny, RHC, Scholl, E, eds. Diseases of swine, 6th ed.Ames: Iowa State University Press, 1986: 289–300.Google Scholar
9.van Oirschot, JT, Terpstra, C. Hog cholera virus. In: Pensaert, MB ed. Virus infections of poreines. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 1989: 113–30.Google Scholar
10.Geering, WA, Forman, AJ. Exotic diseases, Vol. 9. Animal health in Australia. Canberra: Dept. of Primary Industries and Energy, 1987.Google Scholar
11.Karstad, L. Miscellaneous viral infections. In: Davis, JW, Karstad, LH, Trainer, DO. Infectious diseases of wild mammals, 2nd ed.Ames: Iowa State University Press, 1981: 202–11.Google Scholar
12.Brugh, M, Foster, JW, Hayes, FA. Studies on the comparative susceptibility of wild European and domestic swine to hog cholera. Amer J Vet Res 1964; 25: 1124–7.Google Scholar
13.Wise, GH. Hog cholera and its eradication. A review of US. experience. US Dept. Agriculture, 1979.Google Scholar
14.Nettles, VF, Corn, JL, Erickson, GA, Jessup, DA. A survey of wild swine in the United States for evidence of hog cholera. J Wildl Dis 1989; 25: 61–5.Google Scholar
15.Keast, JC, Littlejohns, IR, Rowan, LC, Wanna, JS. The role of the feral pig as a disease reservoir. Aust Vet J 1963; 39: 99.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
16.Inayatullah, C. Wild boar in West Pakistan. Forest Institute Bulletin No. 1. Peshwar: Pakistan, 1973.Google Scholar
17.Pridnya, MV. Network of protected natural areas in the western Caucasus and the role of the Caucasus reserve. Soviet J Ecology 1982; 12: 322–7.Google Scholar
18.Jakovljevic, D, Valentincic, S, Radovanovic, M. The situation regarding wildlife in Yugoslavia. Rev Sci Tech Off Int Epiz 1988; 7: 857–60.Google Scholar
19.Firinu, A, Scarano, C. African swine fever and classical swine fever (hog cholera) among wild boar in Sardinia. Rev Sci Tech Off Int Epiz 1988; 7: 909–15.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
20.Terpstra, C. Epizootiology of hog cholera. In: Liess, B, ed. Classical swine fever and related viral infections. Boston: Martinus Nijhoff Publishing, 1988: 201–16.Google Scholar
21.Blaha, T. Classical swine fever (hog cholera). In: Blaha, T, ed. Applied veterinary epidemiology. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 1989: 61–6.Google Scholar
22.Anderson, RM. Strategies for the control of infectious disease agents. In: Conway, GR, ed. Pest and pathogen control: Strategic, tactical and policy models. Chichester: Wiley, 1984: 109–41.Google Scholar
23.Anderson, RM, Jackson, HC, May, RM, Smith, AM. Population dynamics of fox rabies in Europe. Nature 1981; 289: 765–71.Google Scholar
24.Anderson, RM, May, RM. The invasion, persistence and spread of infectious diseases within animal and plant communities. Phil Trans Royal Soc London B 1986; 314: 533–70.Google ScholarPubMed
25.Mohanty, SB, Dutta, SK. Veterinary virology. Philadelphia: Lea and Febiger, 1981.Google Scholar
26.Winkler, JK. Farm animal health and disease control, 2nd ed.Philadelphia: Lea and Febiger, 1982.Google Scholar
27.Gillespie, JH, Timoney, JF. Hagan and Bruner's infectious diseases of domestic animals, 7th ed.Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1981.Google Scholar
28.Coyne, MJ, Smith, G, McAllister, FE. Mathematic model for the population biology of rabies in raccoons in the mid-Atlantic states. Amer J Vet Res 1989; 50: 2148–54.Google Scholar
29.Pech, RP, Hone, J. A model of the dynamics and control of an outbreak of foot and mouth disease in feral pigs in Australia. J Applied Ecol 1988; 25: 63–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
30.Ehrensperger, F. Immunological aspects of the infection. In: Liess, B, ed. Classical swine fever and related viral infections. Boston: Martinus Nijhoff Publishing. 1988: 143–63.Google Scholar
31.Smith, ADM. A continuous time deterministic model of temporal rabies. In: Bacon, PJ, ed. Population dynamics of rabies in wildlife. London: Academic Press. 1985: 131–46.Google Scholar
32.Anderson, RM, May, RM. Directly transmitted infectious diseases: control by vaccination. Science 1982; 215: 1053–60.Google Scholar
33.Hone, J. Evaluation of methods for ground survey of feral pigs and their sign. Acta Theriologica 1988; 33: 451–65.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
34.Anderson, RM. Theoretical basis for the use of pathogens as biological control agents of pest species. Parasitology 1982; 84: 3–33.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
35.Spratt, DM. The role of helminths in the biological control of mammals. Internat. J Parasitology 1990; 20: 543–50.Google Scholar
36.Cohen, JE. Schistosomiasis: a human host-parasite system. In: May, RM, ed. Theoretical ecology. Principles and applications. 1st ed.Oxford: Blackwell, 1981: 237–56.Google Scholar
37.May, RM, Anderson, RM. Epidemiology and genetics in the coevolution of parasites and hosts. Proc Roy Soc London B 1983; 219: 281–313.Google Scholar
38.Pech, RP, Mcllroy, JC. A model of the velocity of advance of foot and mouth disease in feral pigs. J Applied Ecol 1990; 27: 635–50.Google Scholar
39.Barlow, ND. An aggregated disease/host model for bovine TB in New Zealand possum populations. J Applied Ecol 1991. In press.Google Scholar
40.Becker, NG. On a general stochastic epidemic model. Theor Pop Biol 1977; 2: 23–36.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
41.Saunders, IW. A model for myxomatosis. Math Biosci 1980; 48: 1–15.Google Scholar