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Resilience in natural and socioeconomic systems

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 March 2001

SIMON A. LEVIN
Affiliation:
Department of Ecology, and Evolutionary Biology, Princetown University, Princetown, NJ 08544, United States
SCOTT BARRETT
Affiliation:
London Business School, Sussex Place, Regent's Park, London, NW1 4SA, United Kingdom
SARA ANIYAR
Affiliation:
Facultad de Ciecias Economicas y Sociales, Universidad del Zulia, Maracaibo, Venezuela
WILLIAM BAUMOL
Affiliation:
C V Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University, 269 Mercer Street, New York, NY 10003, United States
CHRISTOPHER BLISS
Affiliation:
Institute of Economics and Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3UL, United Kingdom
BERT BOLIN
Affiliation:
Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden
PARTHA DASGUPTA
Affiliation:
Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, Sidwick Avenue, Cambridge, CB3 9DD, United Kingdom
PAUL EHRLICH
Affiliation:
Department of Biological Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford CA 994305, United States
CARL FOLKE
Affiliation:
Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden Beijer Institute, The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, PO Box 50005, S 104 05 Stockholm, Sweden
ING-MARIE GREN
Affiliation:
Beijer Institute, The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, PO Box 50005, S 104 05 Stockholm, Sweden
C.S. HOLLING
Affiliation:
Department of Zoology, University of Florida, 111 Bartram Hall, PO Box 118525 Gainesville, FL 32611-8525, United States
ANNMARI JANSSON
Affiliation:
Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden
BENGT-OWE JANSSON
Affiliation:
Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden
KARL-GÖRAN MÄLER
Affiliation:
Beijer Institute, The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, PO Box 50005, S 104 05 Stockholm, Sweden
DAN MARTIN
Affiliation:
The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, 140 South Dearborn Street, Chicago, IL 60603, USA
CHARLES PERRINGS
Affiliation:
Environment Department, University of York, Heslington, York, YO1 5DD, United Kingdom
EYTAN SHESHINSKI
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, The Hebrew University, of Jerusalem, 20 Tura Street, Yemin Moshe, Jerusalem 91905, Israel

Abstract

We, as a society, find ourselves confronted with a spectrum of potentially catastrophic and irreversible environmental problems, for which conventional approaches will not suffice in providing solutions. These problems are characterized, above all, by their unpredictability. This means that surprise is to be expected, and that sudden qualitative shifts in dynamics present serious problems for management. In general, it is difficult to detect strong signals of change early enough to motivate effective solutions, or even to develop scientific consensus on a time scale rapid enough to allow effective solution. Furthermore, such signals, even when detected, are likely to be displaced in space or sector from the source, so that the motivation for action is small. Conventional market mechanisms thus will be inadequate to address these challenges.

Type
Policy Forum
Copyright
© 1998 Cambridge University Press

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