Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-tj2md Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-25T05:09:19.571Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

UNIFORM CONVERGENCE RATES OVER MAXIMAL DOMAINS IN STRUCTURAL NONPARAMETRIC COINTEGRATING REGRESSION

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 January 2017

James A. Duffy*
Affiliation:
University of Oxford
*
*Address correspondence to James A. Duffy, Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford Martin School; and Economics Department, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; e-mail: james.duffy@economics.ox.ac.uk.

Abstract

This paper presents uniform convergence rates for kernel regression estimators, in the setting of a structural nonlinear cointegrating regression model. We generalise the existing literature in three ways. First, the domain to which these rates apply is much wider than the domains that have been considered in the existing literature, and can be chosen so as to contain as large a fraction of the sample as desired in the limit. Second, our results allow the regression disturbance to be serially correlated, and cross-correlated with the regressor; previous work on this problem (of obtaining uniform rates) having been confined entirely to the setting of an exogenous regressor. Third, we permit the bandwidth to be data-dependent, requiring it to satisfy only certain weak asymptotic shrinkage conditions. Our assumptions on the regressor process are consistent with a very broad range of departures from the standard unit root autoregressive model, allowing the regressor to be fractionally integrated, and to have an infinite variance (and even infinite lower-order moments).

Type
ARTICLES
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

The author thanks Xiaohong Chen, Bent Nielsen and Peter Phillips for helpful comments on this paper, and the earlier work. The manuscript was prepared with LYX 2.1.3 and JabRef 2.7b.

References

REFERENCES

Bercu, B. & Touati, A. (2008) Exponential inequalities for self-normalized martingales with applications. Annals of Applied Probability 18(5), 18481869.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bingham, N.H., Goldie, C.M., & Teugels, J.L. (1987) Regular Variation. Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Borodin, A.N. & Ibragimov, I.A. (1995) Limit theorems for functionals of random walks. Proceedings of the Steklov Institute of Mathematics 195(2), 1259.Google Scholar
Chan, N. & Wang, Q. (2014) Uniform convergence for nonparametric estimators with nonstationary data. Econometric Theory 30(5), 11101133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Duffy, J.A. (2016) A uniform law for convergence to the local times of linear fractional stable motions. Annals of Applied Probability 25(1), 4572.Google Scholar
Einmahl, U. & Mason, D.M. (2005) Uniform in bandwidth consistency of kernel-type function estimators. Annals of Statistics 33(3), 13801403.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fan, J. & Gijbels, I. (1996) Local Polynomial Modelling and its Application. Chapman & Hall.Google Scholar
Freedman, D.A. (1975) On tail probabilities for martingales. Annals of Probability 3(1), 100118.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gao, J., Kanaya, S., Li, D., & Tjøstheim, D. (2015) Uniform consistency for nonparametric estimators in null recurrent time series. Econometric Theory 31(5), 911952.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hannan, E.J. (1979) The central limit theorem for time series regression. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications 9(3), 281289.Google Scholar
Hansen, B.E. (2008) Uniform convergence rates for kernel estimation with dependent data. Econometric Theory 24(3), 726748.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hansen, B.E. (2012) Econometrics. Unpublished. Available at www.ssc.wisc.edu/∼bhansen/econometrics/Econometrics2012.pdf.Google Scholar
Ibragimov, I.A. & Linnik, Y.V. (1971) Independent and Stationary Sequences of Random Variables. Wolters–Noordhoff.Google Scholar
Jeganathan, P. (2004) Convergence of functionals of sums of r.v.s to local times of fractional stable motions. Annals of Probability 32, 17711795.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jeganathan, P. (2008) Limit Theorems for Functionals of Sums that Converge to Fractional Brownian and Stable Motions. Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1649, Yale University.Google Scholar
Karatzas, I. & Shreve, S.E. (1991) Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus, 2nd ed. Springer.Google Scholar
Karlsen, H.A., Myklebust, T., & Tjøstheim, D. (2007) Nonparametric estimation in a nonlinear cointegration type model. Annals of Statistics 35(1), 252299.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kristensen, D. (2009) Uniform convergence rates of kernel estimators with heterogeneous dependent data. Econometric Theory 25(5), 14331445.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Li, D., Lu, Z., & Linton, O. (2012) Local linear fitting under near epoch dependence: uniform consistency with convergence rates. Econometric Theory 28(5), 935958.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Liu, W., Chan, N., & Wang, Q. (2014) Uniform approximation to local time with applications in non-linear cointegrating regression. Unpublished, University of Sydney.Google Scholar
Park, J.Y. & Phillips, P.C.B. (2001) Nonlinear regressions with integrated time series. Econometrica 69(1), 117161.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Phillips, P.C.B. & Su, L. (2011) Non-parametric regression under location shifts. Econometrics Journal 14(3), 457486.Google Scholar
Ray, D. (1963) Sojourn times of diffusion processes. Illinois Journal of Mathematics 7(4), 615630.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Revuz, D. & Yor, M. (1999) Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion, 3rd ed. Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Samorodnitsky, G. & Taqqu, M.S. (1994) Stable Non-Gaussian Random Processes: Stochastic Models with Infinite Variance. CRC Press.Google Scholar
Stone, C.J. (1982) Optimal global rates of convergence for nonparametric regression. Annals of Statistics 10(4), 10401053.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
van der Vaart, A.W. & Wellner, J.A. (1996) Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes: With Applications to Statistics. Springer.Google Scholar
Wang, Q. & Chan, N. (2014) Uniform convergence rates for a class of martingales with application in non-linear cointegrating regression. Bernoulli 20(1), 207230.Google Scholar
Wang, Q. & Phillips, P.C.B. (2009a) Asymptotic theory for local time density estimation and nonparametric cointegrating regression. Econometric Theory 25(3), 710738.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wang, Q. & Phillips, P.C.B. (2009b) Structural nonparametric cointegrating regression. Econometrica 77(6), 19011948.Google Scholar
Wang, Q. & Phillips, P.C.B. (2011) Asymptotic theory for zero energy functionals with nonparametric regression applications. Econometric Theory 27(2), 235259.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wang, Q. & Phillips, P.C.B. (2016) Nonlinear cointegrating regression with endogeneity and long memory. Econometric Theory 32(2), 359401.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wang, Q. & Wang, Y.X.R. (2013) Nonparametric cointegrating regression with NNH errors. Econometric Theory 29(1), 127.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Duffy supplementary material

Duffy supplementary material 1

Download Duffy supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 231 KB