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Modelling insect demography from capture–recapture data: comparison between the constrained linear models and the Jolly–Seber analytical method

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 April 2012

Nicolas Schtickzelle*
Affiliation:
Université catholique de Louvain, Biodiversity Research Centre, 4 Place Croix du Sud, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
Michel Baguette
Affiliation:
Université catholique de Louvain, Biodiversity Research Centre, 4 Place Croix du Sud, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
Éric Le Boulengé
Affiliation:
Université catholique de Louvain, Biodiversity Research Centre, 4 Place Croix du Sud, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
*
1Corresponding author (e-mail: schtickzelle@ecol.ucl.ac.be).

Abstract

Entomologists traditionally use the Jolly–Seber analytical method (JSAM) to estimate demographic parameters from capture–mark–recapture data, although more powerful approaches like the constrained linear models (CLM) have been developed and are commonly and successfully applied to vertebrates. Demographic parameters (i.e., survival, capture, and recruitment rates, population size, and sex ratio) of a patchy population of the Bog Fritillary butterfly, Proclossiana eunomia (Esp.) (Lepidoptera: Nymphalidae), were estimated using CLM on the basis of daily captures of imagoes during 11 yearly generations (1992–2002). Comparing these results with JSAM results obtained on the same data lead us to stress that CLM are far more powerful tools which allow for optimal exploitation of capture–mark–recapture data. This method allows the identification of the variation patterns of demographic parameters and to link them to life-history traits; furthermore it gives more precise estimates of these crucial input parameters for the modelling of population trends and population viability analysis.

Résumé

Les entomologistes utilisent traditionnellement la méthode analytique de Jolly–Seber (JSAM) pour estimer les paramètres démographiques à partir de données de capture–marquage–recapture alors que des approches plus puissantes comme les modèles linéaires sous contraintes (CLM) ont été développées et sont couramment appliquées avec succès aux vertébrés. Les paramètres démographiques (survie, piégeabilité, recrutement, taille de population et sex ratio) d'une population subdivisée du nacré de la bistorte, Proclossiana eunomia (Esp.) (Lepidoptera: Nymphalidae), ont été estimés par CLM sur base de captures journalières des imagos durant 11 générations annuelles (1992–2002). La comparaison de ces résultats avec ceux obtenus sur les même données par JSAM souligne que CLM représente un outil nettement plus puissant permettant une exploitation optimale des données de capture–marquage–recapture. En effet, cette méthode permet d'identifier les patrons de variation des paramètres démographiques et de les relier à des traits d'histoire de vie; de plus, elle donne des estimations plus précises de ces paramètres cruciaux pour la modélisation des trajectoires de population et l'analyse de viabilité de population.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Entomological Society of Canada 2003

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