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Recent Mortality Trends in the Spanish Population

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 June 2011

M. Guillen
Affiliation:
Dept. of Econometrics, University of Barcelona, Diagonal 690, 08034 Barcelona, Spain., Tel: +34-93-402-18-39, Fax: +34-93-402-18-21, Email: guillen@eco.ub.es
Corresponding
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Abstract

Our research deals with the way that calendar time affects mortality patterns in the Spanish population, and how this information can be used to elaborate predictions. A description of the observed mortality evolution has been worked out using data from 1975 to 1993. We have used Heligman-Pollard Law number two to model the evolution of Spanish mortality over the period and using univariate time series analysis, we have obtained a prognosis for years 1994 to 2010.

Type
Sessional meetings: papers and abstracts of discussions
Copyright
Copyright © Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2002

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References

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