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Direct experience is ecologically valid

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 December 1997

Adam S. Goodie
Affiliation:
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, D-14195 Berlin, Germany goodie@mpib-berlin.mpg.de www.mpipf-muenchen.mpg.de/abc/people/goad-e./htm

Abstract

Koehler's (1996t) target article raised, and various commentators discussed, two issues that seem far separated but actually have a great deal in common. These are the value of “ecologically valid” research and the effect of direct experience on base-rate usage. Koehler discussed the former as a methodological issue and the latter as a normative one, and no commentator chose to incorporate them, but directly experienced base rates are a good example of ecologically valid research. The state of the literature with regard to directly experienced base rates is reviewed, and the emerging perception, that direct experience has a profound Bayesian effect on base-rate usage, is rejected.

Type
Continuing Commentary
Copyright
© 1997 Cambridge University Press

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