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Presidential Prenomination Preferences and Candidate Evaluations

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 September 2013

Patrick J. Kenney
Affiliation:
Arizona State University
Tom W. Rice
Affiliation:
University of Vermont

Abstract

Recent research has altered our understanding of how voters select a candidate in U.S. presidential elections. Scholars have demonstrated empirically that issues, candidate personalities, candidate evaluations, and party identification interact in a dynamic simultaneous fashion to determine vote choice. Other researchers have shown that prenomination candidate preferences play an integral role in structuring the general election vote. We join together these two important trends to introduce and test a revised model of vote choice, using 1980 NES panel data. The results reconfirm that candidate selection is part of a dynamic simultaneous process and reveal for the first time that prenomination preferences are woven tightly into this causal web.

Type
Research Notes
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1988

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