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2 - Theoretical Structure of Dynamic GTAP

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Elena I. Ianchovichina
Affiliation:
The World Bank, USA
Robert A. McDougall
Affiliation:
Purdue University, USA
Elena Ianchovichina
Affiliation:
The World Bank, Washington, DC
Terrie L. Walmsley
Affiliation:
Purdue University, Indiana
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Summary

Introduction

GDyn is a recursively dynamic AGE model of the world economy. It extends the standard GTAP model (Hertel 1997) to include international capital mobility, capital accumulation, and an adaptive expectations theory of investment. This chapter discusses the rationale behind the design decisions affecting GDyn and presents its technical features in detail.

The main objective of GDyn is to provide a better treatment of the long-run within the GTAP framework. In standard GTAP, capital can move between industries within a region, but not between regions. This inability of capital to move between regions impedes the analysis of policy shocks and other developments that affect incentives to invest in different regions. For a good long-run treatment, then, we need international capital mobility.

With capital mobile between regions, we need to expand the national accounts to allow for international income payments. Policies that attract capital to a region may have a strong impact on the gross domestic product, but if the investment is funded from abroad, the impact on the gross national product and national income may be much weaker. Therefore, to avoid creating spurious links between investment and welfare, we need to distinguish between asset ownership and asset location: The assets owned by a region need no longer be the assets located in that region, and the income generated by the assets in a region need no longer accrue to that region's residents.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2012

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References

Feldstein, M. and C., Horioka. 1980. “Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows”. Economic Journal 90(358), 314–29.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harrison, W. J. and K. R., Pearson. 1998. An Introduction to GEMPACK. GEMPACK Document No. GPD-1 (4th ed.). Melbourne, Australia: Centre of Policy Studies and Impact Project, Monash University.Google Scholar
Hertel, T. W. (ed.). 1997. Global Trade Analysis Modeling and Applications.Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Hertel, T. W. and M. E., Tsigas. 1997. “Structure of GTAP”. In T. W., Hertel (ed.), Global Trade Analysis Modeling and Applications (pp. 13–73). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Huff, K. and T.W., Hertel. 1996. Decomposing Welfare Changes in GTAP. Technical Paper No. 5, Center for Global Trade Analysis. West Lafayette, IN: Purdue University.Google Scholar
Ianchovichina, E. I. 1998. International Capital Linkages: Theory and Application in a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model. Ph.D. thesis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.Google Scholar
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McDougall, R. A. (ed.). 1997. Global Trade, Assistance, and Protection: The GTAP 3 Data Base. Center for Global Trade Analysis. West Lafayette, IN: Purdue University.
McDougall, R. A., A., Elbehri, and T. P., Truong (eds.). 1998. Global Trade, Assistance, and Protection: The GTAP 4 Data Base. Center for Global Trade Analysis. West Lafayette, IN: Purdue University.Google Scholar
McDougall, R., M. E., Tsigas, and R., Wigle. 1997. “Overview of the GTAP Data Base”. In T. W., Hertel (ed.), Global Trade Analysis Modeling and Applications (pp. 74–124). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar

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