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7 - Monetary transmission in the new Member States

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 September 2009

Michael Artis
Affiliation:
European University Institute, Florence
Anindya Banerjee
Affiliation:
European University Institute, Florence
Massimiliano Marcellino
Affiliation:
Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, Milan
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Summary

Introduction

The analysis of the monetary transmission mechanism aims to describe the channels through which monetary policy decisions are transmitted to the economy and affect policy objectives. Knowledge of the monetary transmission mechanism underpins the effective conduct of monetary policy; it allows not only selection of an adequate set of policy instruments, but also their implementation in a timely way.

There is a broad range of empirical evidence on the effects and the transmission of monetary policy for the United States, the Euro area and for most EU countries (see Ganev et al., 2002; Ehrmann et al., 2003; or Goodhart, 2003) using three different, well-defined methodologies:

  • First, the approach known as the ‘narrative method’. Following Ganev et al. (2002), this method consists of identifying policy shocks, developing a counterfactual (i.e. what would have happened to the outcome variables in the absence of the shock) comparing the actual with the counterfactual, and then drawing conclusions.

  • Secondly, the use of structural VAR models or small- (or large-) scale macroeconomic models to analyse and quantify the existence of different effects of monetary policy on output and prices. The comparison of the responses to a monetary shock with those obtained for other countries may shed light on the existence of different transmission channels.

  • Last, the use of micro data in order to analyse how the effects of the monetary policy arise. Asymmetries in the transmission of monetary policy are usually related to the characteristics of the mechanisms through which monetary policy influences the real economy and how agents (financial and non-financial firms, households etc.) behave.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2006

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