Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Contributors
- Foreword
- Preface
- Section I Introduction
- Section II Learning to flip coins
- 2 On flipping coins and making technology choices: Luck as an explanation of technological foresight and oversight
- 3 Technological choices and the inevitability of errors
- 4 Rational entrepreneurs or optimistic martyrs? Some considerations on technological regimes, corporate entries, and the evolutionary role of decision biases
- Section III Tailoring fits
- Section IV Remembering to forget
- Section V (S)Top management and culture
- Section VI Clearing the fog
- Author Index
- Subject Index
3 - Technological choices and the inevitability of errors
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 07 October 2011
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Contributors
- Foreword
- Preface
- Section I Introduction
- Section II Learning to flip coins
- 2 On flipping coins and making technology choices: Luck as an explanation of technological foresight and oversight
- 3 Technological choices and the inevitability of errors
- 4 Rational entrepreneurs or optimistic martyrs? Some considerations on technological regimes, corporate entries, and the evolutionary role of decision biases
- Section III Tailoring fits
- Section IV Remembering to forget
- Section V (S)Top management and culture
- Section VI Clearing the fog
- Author Index
- Subject Index
Summary
It seemed like a marvelous idea at the time: Grocery shoppers would use an ID card that, combined with the electronic scanners at the checkout line, would tell marketers exactly who bought what…. But six years later, the effort looks as if it could turn out to be one of Citicorp's biggest follies. The POS (for point-of-sale) Information Services unit has spent about $200 million, generated just $20 million in revenue at best and made a mess of relationships with many grocery chains and consumer goods producers.
Other direct marketers … saved millions of dollars in being able to see where Citicorp went wrong.
(Bleakley, 1991)My biggest mistake was failing to get Data General into the PC business.
(Mr. de Castro, Chairman and cofounder of Data General Corp., quoted in Wilke, 1990)Technology is a double-edged sword. While it can create wealth, it can also consume and destroy it. This duality strikes at the very heart of strategic management because technological changes offer firms some of the most important opportunities for revitalization. Entire industries can emerge from new technologies, as illustrated by the overnight delivery and video games businesses. At the same time, however, technological changes can threaten firms' very existence. New technologies can make products offered by incumbent firms obsolete, as illustrated by the audio cassette recorder's superiority over phonograph records.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Technological InnovationOversights and Foresights, pp. 20 - 40Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 1997
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