Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-tj2md Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-24T02:24:19.176Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Oil Import Diversification in Northeast Asia: A Comparison Between China and Japan

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 March 2016

Abstract

In this article, we explore why oil import patterns differ between states with a view to understanding the relationship between agent-based explanations such as strategy and structural explanations—for example, geography. We compare degree of diversification between China and Japan in an effort to explore the relationship between agency and structure in the formation of energy security policy. The China-Japan comparison is contextualized with reference to the baseline case of the United States, a well-diversified importer. We employ the Shannon-Wiener index of diversity to assess the extent of oil import diversification, and temporal changes in diversification for China, Japan, and the United States. A key finding is that China's statist approach has allowed it to diversify its sources of imported oil more quickly than Japan's hybrid approach. In fact, since becoming a net oil importer in 1993, China's sources of imported oil have diversified quite rapidly. Japan's overreliance on the Middle East for much of its imported oil has been endemic since 1973.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © East Asia Institute 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Afrasiabi, Kavah L. 2004. “China Rocks the Geopolitical Boat with Iran Oil Deals.” Asia Times Online , November 4.Google Scholar
Alhajji, Anas F. 2007. “What Is Energy Security? Definitions and Concepts.” Middle East Economic Survey 50, 45 (November 5).Google Scholar
Andrews-Speed, Philip, Liao, Xuanli, and Dannreuther, Roland. 2002. “The Strategic Implications of China's Energy Needs.” Adelphi Paper No. 346. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
ANRE (Agency for Natural Resources and Energy). 2006. New National Energy Strategy. Tokyo: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry.Google Scholar
BBC News. 2009. “Japan and Venezuela Trade Energy.” Available at http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/asia-pacific/7986905.stm. April 7 (accessed November 11, 2010).Google Scholar
Berniker, Mark. 2003. “China's Hunger for Central Asian Energy.” Asia Times Online. June 11.Google Scholar
BP (British Petroleum). 2010. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2010. London: British Petroleum.Google Scholar
Calder, Kent E. 1996. Asia's Deadly Triangle: How Arms, Energy and Growth Threaten to Destablize Asia Pacific. London: Nicholas Brealey Publishing.Google Scholar
Chen, Shaofeng. 2008. “Motivations Behind China's Foreign Oil Quest: A Perspective from the Chinese Government and the Oil Companies.” Journal of Chinese Political Science 13, 1: 79104.Google Scholar
Chow, Edward C., and Hendrix, Leigh E.. 2010. “Central Asia's Pipelines: Field of Dreams and Reality.” Pipeline Politics in Asia , NBR Special Report No. 23 (September): 2942.Google Scholar
Collins, Gabriel B., Erickson, Andrew E., Goldstein, Lyle J., and Murray, William S., eds. 2008. China's Energy Security Strategy: The Impact on Beijing's Maritime Policies. Annapolis: Naval Institute Press.Google Scholar
Constantin, Christian. 2005. “China's Conception of Energy Security, Sources and International Impacts.” Centre of International Relations (UBC) Working Paper No. 43 (March).Google Scholar
Constantin, Christian. 2008. “China's Energy Policy and Energy Cooperation: Opportunities and Challenges for Canada.” CIC Preliminary Paper (July).Google Scholar
Deutch, John, Schlesinger, James R., and Victor, David G.. 2006. “National Security Consequences of U.S. Oil Dependency.” Council of Foreign Relations, Independent Task Force Report No. 58.Google Scholar
Downs, Erica S. 2000. China's Quest for Energy Security. Santa Monica: RAND.Google Scholar
Downs, Erica S. 2004. “The Chinese Energy Security Debate.” China Quarterly 177: 2141.Google Scholar
Downs, Erica S. 2008. “China's ‘New’ Energy Administration.” China Business Review (November-December): 4245.Google Scholar
Drifte, Richard. 2002. “Japan's Energy Policy in Asia: Cooperation, Competition, Territorial Disputes.” CEPMLP Internet Journal 11, 3.Google Scholar
Economist. 2009. “Raising the Stakes,” April 8.Google Scholar
Eguchi, Yujiro. 1980. “Japanese Energy Policy.” International Affairs 56, 2: 263279.Google Scholar
EIA (Energy Information Administration). 2008. “Japan: Country Analysis Brief.” US Department of Energy. Available at www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/Japan/Full.html (accessed April 17, 2010).Google Scholar
Evans, Peter C., and Downs, Erica S.. 2006. “Untangling China's Quest for Oil through State-Backed Financial Deals.” Brookings Institution Policy Brief No. 154. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Forbes. 2010. “The Global 2000: The World's Leading Companies,” April 21.Google Scholar
Fried, Edward R., and Trezise, Philip H.. 1993. Oil Security: Retrospect and Prospect. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Friedberg, Aaron L. 2006. “‘Going Out’: China's Pursuit of Natural Resources and Implications for the PRC's Grand Strategy.” NBR Analysis 17, 3: 534.Google Scholar
Fukai, Shigeko. 1988, “Japan's Energy Policy.” Current History 87, 528: 169184.Google Scholar
Fukushima, Akiko. 2007. “‘Central Asia + Japan’: The Second Tokyo Dialogue Chairperson's Summary.” Available at www.mofa.go.jp/region/europe/dialogue/summary0701.html (accessed May 11, 2010).Google Scholar
Gilpin, Robert. 1975. US Power and the Multinational Corporation. New York: Basic Books.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Glain, Stephen. 2006–2007. “The Next Big Deal.” Newsweek , December–February.Google Scholar
Goldstein, Lyle, and Kozyrev, Vitaly. 2006. “China, Japan and the Scramble for Siberia.” Survival 48, 1: 163178.Google Scholar
Government of Japan. 2002. “Basic Act on Energy Policy.” Act No. 71, June 14.Google Scholar
Herberg, Mikkal E. 2004. “Asia's Energy Insecurity: Cooperation or Conflict?” In Strategic Asia 2004-05: Confronting Terrorism in the Pursuit of Power , ed. Tellis, Ashley J. and Wills, Michael, 339377. Seattle: National Bureau of Asian Research.Google Scholar
Hoffman, Andy, and Perkins, Tara. 2011. “China's Sovereign Wealth Fund Sets Up in Toronto.” Globe and Mail , January 12.Google Scholar
ICG (International Crisis Group). 2008. “China's Thirst for Oil.” Asia Report No. 153.Google Scholar
Kambara, Tatsu, and Howe, Christopher. 2007. China and the Global Energy Crisis: Development and Prospects for China's Oil and Natural Gas. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.Google Scholar
Klein, Donald W. 1980. “Japan 1979: The Second Oil Crisis.” Asian Survey 20, 1: 4252.Google Scholar
Koike, Masanari, Moji, Gento, and Albedaiwi, Waleed H.. 2008. “Overseas Oil-Development Policy of Resource-Poor Countries: A Case Study from Japan.” Energy Policy 36, 5: 17611775.Google Scholar
Kong, Bo. 2009. “China's Energy Decision-Making: Becoming More Like the United States?” Journal of Contemporary China 18, 62: 789812.Google Scholar
Kreft, Heinrich. 2006. “China's Energy Security Conundrum.” Korean Journal of Defense Analysis 18, 3: 107120.Google Scholar
Lai, Hongyi. 2007. “China's Oil Diplomacy: Is It a Global Security Threat?” Third World Quarterly 28, 3: 519537.Google Scholar
Lanteigne, Marc. 2008. “China's Maritime Security and the ‘Malacca Dilemma.’” Asian Security 4, 2: 143161.Google Scholar
Lee, Pak K. 2005. “China's Quest for Oil Security: Oil (Wars) in the Pipeline?” Pacific Review 18, 2: 265301.Google Scholar
Leiby, Paul N. 2007. “Estimating the Energy Security Benefits of Reduced US Oil Imports.” Oak Ridge National Laboratory (July 23).Google Scholar
Len, Christopher. 2005. “Japan's Central Asian Diplomacy: Motivations, Implications and Prospects for the Region.” China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly 3, 3: 127149.Google Scholar
Lesbirel, S. Hayden. 1988. “The Political Economy of Substitution Policy: Japan's Response to Lower Oil Prices.” Pacific Affairs 61, 2: 285302.Google Scholar
Lesbirel, S. Hayden. 2004. “Diversification and Energy Security Risks: The Japanese Case.” Japanese Journal of Political Science 5, 1: 122.Google Scholar
Lester, Richard, and Steinfeld, Edward. 2006. “China's Energy Policy: Is Anybody Really Calling the Shots?” Industrial Performance Center Working Paper Series. Cambridge: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.Google Scholar
Lewis, Stephen W. 2007. “Chinese NOCs and World Energy Markets: CNPC, Sinopec and CNOOC.” In The Changing Role of National Oil Companies in International Energy Markets , Japan Petroleum Energy Center and the James A. Baker III Insititute for Public Policy.Google Scholar
Liao, Xuanli. 2007. “The Petroleum Factor in Sino-Japanese Relations: Beyond Energy Cooperation.” International Relations of the Asia-Pacific 7, 1: 2346.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Liao, Xuanli. 2009. “Perceptions and Strategies on Energy Security: The Case of China and Japan.” In Energy and Security Cooperation in Asia: Challenges and Prospects , ed. Len, Christopher and Chew, Alvin, 105120. Stockholm: Institute for Security and Development Policy.Google Scholar
Manicom, James. 2008. “Sino-Japanese Cooperation in the East China Sea: Limitations and Prospects.” Contemporary Southeast Asia 30, 3: 455–178.Google Scholar
Manning, Robert A. 2000. The Asian Energy Factor: Myths and Dilemmas of Energy, Security and the Pacific Future. New York: Palgrave.Google Scholar
Masaki, Hisane. 2006. “Japan's New Energy Strategy.” Asia Times Online , January 13.Google Scholar
McCarthy, Shaun. 2009. “China's Move into Oil Sands Irks Washington.” Globe and Mail , September 1.Google Scholar
Meiden, Michal, Andrews-Speed, Philip, and Xin, Ma. 2009. “Shaping China's Energy Policy: Actors and Processes.” Journal of Contemporary China 18, 61: 591616.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mitchell, John, and Lahn, Glada. 2007. “Oil for Asia.” Energy, Environment and Development Programme Briefing Paper. London: Chatham House.Google Scholar
MOFA (Ministry of Foreign Affairs). 2004. “Strategy and Approaches of Japan's Energy Diplomacy” (April).Google Scholar
Mogi, Chikako. 2009. “Japan, Venezuela Sign Broad Oil, Gas Cooperation.” Reuters, April 6.Google Scholar
Myers Jaffe, Amy, and Soligo, Ronald. 2007. “The International Oil Companies.” Paper prepared in conjunction with an energy study sponsored by Japan Petroleum Energy Center and The James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy, Rice University, November.Google Scholar
Neff, Thomas L. 1997. “Improving Energy Security in Pacific Asia: Diversification and Risk Reduction for Fossil and Nuclear Fuels.” Commissioned by the Pacific Asia Regional Energy Security (PARES) Project, December.Google Scholar
Nemetz, Peter N., Vertinsky, Ilan, and Vertinsky, Patricia N.. 1984–1985. “Japan's Energy Strategy at the Crossroads.” Pacific Affairs 57, 4: 553576.Google Scholar
NEPDG (National Energy Policy Development Group). 2001. National Energy Policy. Washington, DC: NEPDG.Google Scholar
Noreng, Øystein. 2002. Crude Power: Politics and the Oil Market. London: I. B. Tauris.Google Scholar
PIW (Petroleum Intelligence Weekly). 2001. “JNOC's Demise Leaves Mideast Assets in Limbo” August 6.Google Scholar
Richardson, Michael. 2009. “China Closing Energy Deals While Oil Is Cheap.” Japan Times , May 29.Google Scholar
Salameh, Mamdouh G. 2003. “The New Frontiers for the United States Energy Security in the 21st Century.” Applied Energy 76, 1: 135144.Google Scholar
Samuelson, Robert J. 2009. “Up Against a Wall of Debt: How Much Can Governments Borrow?” Newsweek , October 29.Google Scholar
Shaoul, Raquel. 2005. “An Evaluation of Japan's Current Energy Policy in the Context of the Azedegan Oil Field Agreement Signed in 2004.” Japanese Journal of Political Science 6, 3: 411437.Google Scholar
Shealy, Malcolm, and Dorian, James P. 2007. “Growing Chinese Energy Demand: Is the World in Denial?” A Report of the Energy and National Security Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies, October.Google Scholar
Council, State. 2007. “China's Energy Conditions and Policies,” Information Office of the State Council. Available at www.china.org.cn/english/whitepaper/energy/237089.htm (accessed June 7, 2010).Google Scholar
Stringer, Kevin D. 2008. “Energy Security: Applying a Portfolio Approach.” Baltic Security and Defence Review 10, 1: 121142.Google Scholar
Takahashi, Manami. 2000. “Japan's Oil Sellers Set to Enter International Market.” Platt's Oilgram , August 21.Google Scholar
Tow, William T. 2007. “Strategic Dimensions of Energy Competition in Asia.” In Energy Security in Asia , ed. Wesley, Michael, 161173. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Vivoda, Vlado. 2008. The Return of the Obsolescing Bargain and the Decline of Big Oil: A Study of Bargaining in the Contemporary Oil Industry. Saarbrücken, Germany: VDM Verlag Dr. Müller.Google Scholar
Vivoda, Vlado. 2009. “Diversification of Oil Import Sources and Energy Security: A Key Strategy or an Elusive Objective?” Energy Policy 37, 11: 46154623.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vivoda, Vlado. 2010a. “Evaluating Energy Security in the Asia-Pacific Region: A Novel Methodological Approach.” Energy Policy 38, 9: 52585263.Google Scholar
Vivoda, Vlado. 2010b. “International Oil Companies, US Government and Energy Security Policy: An Interest-based Analysis.” International Journal of Global Energy Issues 33, 1–2: 7388.Google Scholar
Wan, Zhihong. 2009. “Venezuela, China Ink $16b Oil Deal.” China Daily , September 18.Google Scholar
Wan, Zhihong. 2010. “Wen Heads ‘Super Ministry’ For Energy.” China Daily , January 28.Google Scholar
Wu, Gang, Wei, Yi-Ming, Fan, Ying, and Liu, Lan-Cui. 2007. “An Empirical Analysis of the Risk of Crude Oil Imports in China Using Improved Portfolio Approach.” Energy Policy 35, 8: 41904199.Google Scholar
Xinhua Daily. 2006. “China Needs More Supertankers to Ensure Oil Supply Security: Report,” August 14.Google Scholar
Xu, Xiaojie. 2002. China's Oil Strategy Toward the Middle East. Austin, TX: The James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy of Rice University.Google Scholar
Xu, Yi-chong. 2006. “China's Energy Security.” Australian Journal of International Affairs 60, 2: 265286.Google Scholar
Yergin, Daniel. 1988. “Energy Security in the 1990s.” Foreign Affairs 67, 1: 110132.Google Scholar
Yokobori, Keiichi. 2005. “Japan.” In Energy and Security: Toward a New Foreign Policy Strategy , ed. Kalicki, Jan H. and Goldwyn, David L., 305328. Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson Center Press.Google Scholar
Yorke, Valerie. 1983. “Oil, the Middle East and Japan's Search for Security.” In Japan's Economic Security , ed. Akao, Nobutoshi, 4570. New York: St. Martin's Press.Google Scholar
Zha, Daojiong. 2006. “China's Energy Security: Domestic and International Issues.” Survival 48, 1: 179190.Google Scholar
Ziegler, Charles E. 2010. “Neomercantilism and Energy Interdependence: Russian Strategies in East Asia.” Asian Security 6, 1: 7493.Google Scholar