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1 results

  • The Rise and Fall of Social Democracy, 1918–2017

  • GIACOMO BENEDETTO, SIMON HIX, NICOLA MASTROROCCO
  • Journal:
    American Political Science Review / Volume 114 / Issue 3 / August 2020
    Published online by Cambridge University Press:
    15 June 2020, pp. 928-939
    Print publication:
    August 2020

  • We describe the electoral history of one of Europe’s most successful party families over the past 100 years in 31 countries. With a unique and newly collected dataset of national election results and a large number of economic and social variables measured for each country-election observation, we find that two main factors drive the electoral performance of social democratic parties: public-sector spending and the size of the manufacturing sector. Our findings suggest that most of the fall in support for social democratic parties in recent years is correlated with a decline in the number of industrial workers as well as a reduction in the propensity of social democratic parties’ core supporters (industrial workers and public-sector employees) to vote for them.