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29 results

Page 1 of 2

  • 3 - Heuristic Bayesian Reasoning

  • from Part II - Operationalizing Bayesian Reasoning in Qualitative Research
  • Tasha Fairfield, London School of Economics and Political Science, Andrew E. Charman, University of California, Berkeley
  • Book:
    Social Inquiry and Bayesian Inference
    Published online:
    28 July 2022
    Print publication:
    04 August 2022, pp 73-123

  • Summary

    This chapter explicates how to apply heuristic Bayesian reasoning in qualitative case study research. Steps include defining a set of mutually exclusive hypotheses to compare, assessing prior odds, identifying evidence, evaluating likelihood ratios for the evidence, and updating via Bayes’ rule to obtain posterior odds for the hypotheses.

  • 10 - Iterative Research

  • from Part IV - Bayesian Implications for Research Design
  • Tasha Fairfield, London School of Economics and Political Science, Andrew E. Charman, University of California, Berkeley
  • Book:
    Social Inquiry and Bayesian Inference
    Published online:
    28 July 2022
    Print publication:
    04 August 2022, pp 463-506

  • Summary

    This chapter explicates the Bayesian foundations of iterative research, where scholars move back and forth between theory revision, data collection, and data analysis. In this style of research, attention to likelihood ratios guards against common forms of confirmation bias, while Occam factors help to control ad hoc hypothesizing.

  • 11 - Test Strength

  • from Part IV - Bayesian Implications for Research Design
  • Tasha Fairfield, London School of Economics and Political Science, Andrew E. Charman, University of California, Berkeley
  • Book:
    Social Inquiry and Bayesian Inference
    Published online:
    28 July 2022
    Print publication:
    04 August 2022, pp 507-550

  • Summary

    This chapter generalizes Van Evera’s typology of process tracing tests to a fully probabilistic context, introducing measures of anticipated test strength that will also be used in Chapter 11.

Page 1 of 2