Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-c47g7 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-19T08:27:11.767Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Economic Pessimism and Political Punishment

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 October 2016

Brad Lockerbie*
Affiliation:
East Carolina University

Abstract

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Symposium: Forecasting the 2016 American National Elections
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2016 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Abramowitz, Alan I. 2000. “Bill and Al’s Excellent Adventure: Forecasting the 1996 Presidential Election.” In Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections, eds., Campbell, James E. and Garand, James C.. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.Google Scholar
Alford, John R. and Hibbing, John R.. 1981. “Increased Incumbency Advantage in the House.” Journal of Politics 43 (4): 1042–61.Google Scholar
Collie, Melissa P. 1981. “Incumbency, Electoral Safety and Turnover in the House of Representatives, 1952-1976.” American Political Science Review 75: 119–31.Google Scholar
Cover, Albert D. 1977. “One Good Term Deserves Another: The Incumbency Advantage in Congressional Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 21 (3): 523–41.Google Scholar
Erikson, Robert P. 1972. “Malapportionment, Gerrymandering, and Party Fortunes in Congressional Elections.” American Political Science Review 66: 1234–45.Google Scholar
Ferejohn, John A. 1977. “On the Decline of Competition in Congressional Elections.” American Political Science Review 71 (1): 166–76.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1977. Congress: Keystone of the Washington Establishment. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1981. Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Key, V. O. 1966. The Responsible Electorate. Cambridge, MA: Harvard university Press.Google Scholar
Kramer, Gerald H. 1983. “The Ecological Fallacy Revisited: Aggregate- versus Individual-Level findings on Economics and Elections and Sociotropic Voting.” American Political Science Review 77 (1): 436–47.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1988. Economics and Elections: The Major Western Democracies. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Lockerbie, Brad. 2008. Do Voters Look to the Future: Economics and Elections. Albany, NY: State University of New York Press.Google Scholar
Mueller, John E. 1973. War, Presidents and Public Opinion. New York, NY: Wiley.Google Scholar