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Valuation of Genomic-Enhanced Expected Progeny Differences in Bull Purchasing

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 October 2022

Taylor Thompson
Affiliation:
Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA
Christopher N. Boyer*
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA
Charles C. Martinez
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA
Troy N. Rowan
Affiliation:
Department of Animal Science, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA
Justin Rhinehart
Affiliation:
Agricultural Experiment Station, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA
*
*Corresponding author. Email: cboyer3@utk.edu

Abstract

We estimate a hedonic pricing model to determine producers’ value for bull expected progeny differences (EPDs), genomic-enhanced EPDs, and phenotypic traits. Birth weight EPD, ribeye area EPD, sale weight, age, frame score, and other factors had a statistically significant impact on bull prices. GE-EPDs were not associated with a change in the bull sales prices expect for weaned calf value and birth weight EPDs. Including weaned calf value and GE-EPDs in a bull hedonic pricing model provides a unique contribution. The results from this work will inform educational programming for bull purchasers on using new economic selection indices and GE-EPDs.

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Southern Agricultural Economics Association

Introduction

Purchasing a bull for a cow-calf operation is a complex decision that has major implications for an operation’s long-term profitability (Clary, Jordan, and Thompson, Reference Clary, Jordan and Thompson1984). The ideal profit-maximizing bull will vary across operations depending on breed composition, marketing plan, average herd cow age, number of heifers, and other factors. For example, a producer retaining ownership through finishing will benefit from purchasing a bull that sires calves with characteristics that increase profitability during the feedlot phase, such as higher average daily gain, lower feed-to-gain ratios, higher dressing percentage, and superior carcass quality (Jones et al., Reference Jones, Turner, Dhuyvetter and Marsh2008; Lewis et al., Reference Lewis, Griffith, Boyer and Rhinehart2016; Mark, Schroeder, and Jones, Reference Mark, Schroeder and Jones2000; Tang et al., Reference Tang, Lewis, Lambert, Griffith and Boyer2017). Regardless of an operation’s goal, a single bull’s genetics impact the overall genetic makeup of the herd to a greater degree than individual cows (Wagner et al., Reference Wagner, Gibb, Farmer and Strohbehn1985). This footprint on the genetic makeup of a herd is even more substantial in herds that retain replacement females.

Today, when a producer is selecting a bull to achieve their production goals and match their herd’s needs, the producer has more information to evaluate today than what was available 5 years ago. This information commonly includes phenotypic measurements (e.g., birthweight and carcass ultrasound data), performance measurements (e.g., average daily gain, weaning weight, and yearling weight), and an extensive suite of breed specific expected progeny differences (EPDs). EPDs are statistical estimates of an animal’s genetic potential derived from performance and historical data of the individual and its relatives for a specific breed (Henderson, Reference Henderson1975). Producers can use EPDs to compare the expected performance of an animal’s offspring with that of another animal from the same population (i.e., comparing the expected performance of calves sired by two bulls in the same breed registry). EPDs complement selection based on phenotypic traits and other visual indicators when selecting a bull and enable more accurate selection decisions than phenotypic measurements alone because they remove variation around phenotype due to environmental factors. This multitool selection approach allows producers to select only on the heritable genetic component of an observed trait. EPDs can help reduce the “unknown” of a sire’s genetic potential and minimizes the risk of selecting the “wrong” bull. Numerous studies have attempted to understand producers’ valuation of bull information when marketing and developing bulls over the past few decades (Bekkerman, Brester, and McDonald, Reference Bekkerman, Brester and McDonald2013; Boyer et al., Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019; Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Chvosta, Rucker, and Watts, Reference Chvosta, Rucker and Watts2001; Dhuyvetter et al., Reference Dhuyvetter, Schroeder, Simms, Bolze and Geske1996; Jones et al., Reference Jones, Turner, Dhuyvetter and Marsh2008; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017; McDonald et al., Reference McDonald, Brester, Bekkerman and Paterson2010; Tang et al., Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Widmar, Stewart, Lofgren and Minton2020, Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Olynk Widmar, Lusk, Stewart, Lofgreen and Minton2022; Vanek et al., Reference Vanek, Watts and Brester2008; Vestal et al., Reference Vestal, Lusk, DeVuyst and Kropp2013).

An interesting finding from this research is that, when EPDs were introduced, producers placed a small value on them relative to phenotypic and performance measurements (Chvosta, Rucker, and Watts, Reference Chvosta, Rucker and Watts2001; Dhuyvetter et al., Reference Dhuyvetter, Schroeder, Simms, Bolze and Geske1996). This is likely because producers needed time to become educated and confident in using EPD information in their bull purchasing decision (Jones et al., Reference Jones, Turner, Dhuyvetter and Marsh2008). Recent studies indicate that EPD information is becoming more a key factor in determining bull sale price (Bacon, Cunningham, and Franken, Reference Bacon, Cunningham and Franken2017; Boyer et al., Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019; Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Jones et al., Reference Jones, Turner, Dhuyvetter and Marsh2008; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017; McDonald et al., Reference McDonald, Brester, Bekkerman and Paterson2010; Tang et al., Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Widmar, Stewart, Lofgren and Minton2020). Boyer et al. (Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019) used bull sale data from 2006 to 2016 to estimate the economic value of phenotypic traits, performance measures, and EPDs over time. Results showed that producers valued growth EPDs, calving ease direct EPDs, milk EPDs, average daily gain, sale weight, and frame score. The impact of EPD on sale prices of bulls was found to go from insignificant to significant over the span of years studied for the sale. Additionally, Tang et al. (Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Widmar, Stewart, Lofgren and Minton2020) showed that, over time, producers’ value of EPD information increased for certain traits. However, the value placed on other traits (like milk EPD) demonstrated a quadratic response by increasing until a point, and then declining.

Genomic-enhanced EPDs (GE-EPDs) were introduced to the beef industry in 2009 by the American Angus Association and have become a new resource for producers to use when evaluating cattle (Scharpe, Reference Scharpe2016). GE-EPDs combine traditional EPD calculations with molecular genetic information on the animal, resulting in more accurate predictions of genetic merit (Meuwissen, Hayes, and Goddard, Reference Meuwissen, Hayes and Goddard2001). GE-EPDs can be interpreted exactly like standard EPDs, but they serve as more accurate estimates of the animal’s genetic merit. Vestal et al. (Reference Vestal, Lusk, DeVuyst and Kropp2013) estimated bull buyers’ preferences for EPDs, Igenity scores, and ultrasound information traits. Results showed that bull buyers significantly value EPD information, test performance, and ultrasound information, while newer DNA profile information (Igenity scores) was unrelated to buyers’ preferences. Even though the Igenity scores are different from GE-EPDs, this finding does indicate that producers might not value this new metric. However, no study has attempted to measure the value producers place on GE-EPDs.

Therefore, the objective of this study is to estimate the value producers place on GE-EPDs relative to phenotypic traits, performance measurements, and traditionally calculated EPDs when selecting and purchasing replacement bulls. We estimate a hedonic pricing model using 9 years of bull sale data (2013–2021) from a public first-price auction in Tennessee. The results could educate purebred seedstock providers on the economic value of individual bull selection criteria and to determine if commercial producers associate a value to GE-EPDs. Understanding if and how producers value EPD accuracy will help extension personnel develop education programs and material to address their questions about GE-EPDs.

Data

Each year, the Middle Tennessee Research and Education Center in Spring Hill, Tennessee markets performance-tested senior bulls in January (University of Tennessee Department of Animal Science, 2019). Senior bulls are born from the first of September to mid-December; therefore, these bulls are between 13 and 17 months old when sold. Breeders deliver their bulls to the test station in August before the sale. The bulls go through a 2-week adjustment period, and then an 84-day weight gain test where they are fed a commercial bull developing ration containing 12% crude protein.

After the test period, phenotypic measures for each bull are recorded including hip height, scrotal circumference, sale weight, frame score, and on-test average daily gain. These measurements, along with pretest information such as actual birth weight and weaning weight, the full suite of EPDs, and carcass ultrasound data (fat thickness, ribeye area, and intramuscular fat), are published in a catalog and online to potential buyers for each bull. Bulls are sold in a public first-price auction.

Data used in this study are from the 2013 to 2021 sales. Since most of the bulls in this sale being purebred Angus, we restrict this study to Angus animals. We used information from a total of five hundred Angus bulls that were sold over the 9-year time. This span of sale data included bulls with EPDs and GE-EPDs. From 2013 to 2016, none of the bulls in this study had a GE-EPD. From 2017 to 2021, all bulls used in this study had a GE-EPD. A description of variables considered to impact sale price is shown in Table 1. Table 2 shows the summary statistics for these variables. Bulls were only considered if their information in the data set was complete. The average sale price was $3,383 per head, with a range of $1,250–$8,250. Figure 1 shows the mean sale price for bulls in the years 2013–2021. The average weight was 1,403 pounds, and the average age was 433 days old.

Figure 1. Average annual sale price of angus bulls sold from 2013 to 2021 in the University of Tennessee’s Middle Tennessee Research and Education Center Bull Sale.

Table 1. Definition of independent and dependent variables

Table 2. Summary statistics of independent and dependent variables

Statistical Analysis

A hedonic pricing model was used to determine whether, or not, phenotypic traits and EPD’s influence the sale price of bulls (Boyer et al., Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019; Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Dhuyvetter et al., Reference Dhuyvetter, Schroeder, Simms, Bolze and Geske1996; Jones et al., Reference Jones, Turner, Dhuyvetter and Marsh2008; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017; Vestal et al., Reference Vestal, Lusk, DeVuyst and Kropp2013). We specify a log-level model by using the log-transformed the sale price to correct non-normal distribution (Wooldridge, Reference Wooldridge2013). Since all bulls are sold individually, we estimate the model using the bull as the experimental unit impacted over time. The model is shown as

(1) $$\ln \left( {{P_{it}}} \right) = \alpha + {\delta _1}G{E_{it}} + \mathop \sum \nolimits_{j = 1}^6 {\beta _j}{X_{itj}} + \mathop \sum \nolimits_{j = 1}^6 {\gamma _j}{X_{itj}}G{E_{it}} + \mathop \sum \nolimits_{k = 1}^7 {\theta _k}{Z_{itk}} + {v_t} + {u_l} + {\varepsilon _{it}}$$

where P it is the sale price ($/head) of bull if in year t; ${\rm GE}_{it}$ is an indicator variable equal to one if the bull had GE-EPD and zero otherwise; and X itj are j EPD covariates including weaned calf value, birth weight, milk, marbling, fat thickness, and ribeye area. The interaction between GE-EPD and EPD covariates is represented within the model multiplying X itj by ${\rm GE}_{it}$ ; Z itk are k phenotype covariates including sale weight, frame score, age, scrotal circumference, ribeye area, intermuscular fat, and fat thickness; v t is the year trend variables (linear, squared, and cubic); u l is the sale order effect; α, β, δ, γ, v, u, and θ are coefficients to be estimated; and ϵ it N(0,σ ϵ 2) is the random error term. Interaction between GE-EPD and EPD covariates to determine if the GE-EPD test was significant for any specific EPD although a GE-EPD test is for all EPDs.

Parameter estimates can be converted to a dollar change in the dependent variable with a one-unit change in the independent variable of interest by multiplying the parameter estimates by the average predicted selling price of the bulls in the sample (Wooldridge, Reference Wooldridge2013). This conversion yields a marginal effect of a change in the independent variable at the average price. A one-unit change in the independent variable would be unlikely for some bull traits. These marginal effects at the average price were converted into realistic unit changes for each variable of interest.

We also specify our model to have standardized independent variables with a level dependent variable (Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017; Lewis et al., Reference Lewis, Griffith, Boyer and Rhinehart2016; Mark, Schroeder, and Jones, Reference Mark, Schroeder and Jones2000; McDonald et al., Reference McDonald, Brester, Bekkerman and Paterson2010). This transforms regression coefficients from units to being standard deviations, which is helpful for making relative comparison of impact across the independent variables. This approach is commonly done for hedonic animal pricing models since independent variables are in different units. We standardized regression coefficients by subtracting the mean from the observed value and dividing that by the standard deviation. This is the same transformation followed by others (Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017; Lewis et al., Reference Lewis, Griffith, Boyer and Rhinehart2016; Mark, Schroeder, and Jones, Reference Mark, Schroeder and Jones2000; McDonald et al., Reference McDonald, Brester, Bekkerman and Paterson2010). Therefore, the coefficients are interpreted as a one-unit standard deviation would result in a change in the standard deviation of the bull sale prices by the value of the coefficient.

Heteroscedasticity is a frequent problem for estimating cattle hedonic pricing models (Jones et al., Reference Jones, Turner, Dhuyvetter and Marsh2008; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017). The likelihood ratio test was used to determine if heteroscedasticity was present from year and actual weight. If heteroscedasticity was present, we corrected it using multiplicative heteroscedasticity in the variance equation (Wooldridge, Reference Wooldridge2013). Additionally, multicollinearity is an issue in hedonic pricing models for bulls (Boyer et al., Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019; Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017; Vanek et al., Reference Vanek, Watts and Brester2008). Failing to correct for this issue can result in flawed conclusions. Person correlation coefficients were estimated for all variables. As anticipated, birth weight EPD and calving ease direct EPD were highly correlated. Therefore, we dropped calving ease direct EPD and included birthweight EPD in the model. Additionally, this study includes weaned calf value index, which is an index that expresses in dollar per head of predicted profitability differences in progeny due to genetics from birth to weaning. This value is highly correlated with weaning weight EPD. Therefore, we drop weaning weight EPD to contribute to the literature by analyzing weaned calf value index.Footnote 1 These models were estimated using maximum likelihood with the MIXED procedure in SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute, 2013).

Hypotheses for Variable Sign

We hypothesize that bull sale price will increase as weaned calf value EPD increases. We base this hypothesis on the weaned calf value index indicates higher profit potential per offspring. Previous studies have shown that weaning weight EPD positively correlated the sale price of bulls (Chvosta, Rucker, and Watts, Reference Chvosta, Rucker and Watts2001; Dhuyvetter et al., Reference Dhuyvetter, Schroeder, Simms, Bolze and Geske1996). However, no study has explored the impact of the weaned calf value economic selection index on bull sale price.

Studies have shown that an increase in birthweight EPD can decrease the price of bulls (Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Jones et al., Reference Jones, Turner, Dhuyvetter and Marsh2008; Vestal et al., Reference Vestal, Lusk, DeVuyst and Kropp2013). Likely, a producer selecting sires to be used on all females or exclusively virgin heifers will desire a bull with a lower birth weight for calving ease. Calving ease direct EPD is highly correlated with birthweight EPD, as calves with smaller birth weights are less likely to have calving complications. As mentioned above, we chose to use birthweight EPD in our analysis due to this correlation. Studies have used either calving ease direct EPD (Boyer et al., Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019), but it is more common in the literature to see birth weight EPD (Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017; Tang et al., Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Widmar, Stewart, Lofgren and Minton2020, Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Olynk Widmar, Lusk, Stewart, Lofgreen and Minton2022). We follow these studies and hypothesize that an increase in birth weight EPD is correlated with decreased sale price.

An increase in milk EPD has also been reported to increase bull sale price (Boyer et al., Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019; Jones et al., Reference Jones, Turner, Dhuyvetter and Marsh2008; Vestal et al., Reference Vestal, Lusk, DeVuyst and Kropp2013); however, Kessler, Pendell, and Enns (Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017) found the converse to be true. Milk production also requires a higher nutritional demand, which can increase feed costs for a sire’s daughters. A moderate milk EPD is ideal, but the optimum will rely on an operation’s environment and management. Marbling, ribeye, and fat thickness EPD were hypothesized to be insignificant based on previous work (Tang et al., Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Widmar, Stewart, Lofgren and Minton2020, Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Olynk Widmar, Lusk, Stewart, Lofgreen and Minton2022).

For the phenotypic traits, studies have reported that higher sale weights tended to increase a bull’s sale price (Boyer et al., Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019; Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017). The expected impact of frame score is unclear since studies commonly find this trait to be insignificant factors for influencing the price of a bull (Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017; Vestal et al., Reference Vestal, Lusk, DeVuyst and Kropp2013). Scrotal circumference is an estimate of reproductive performance and is sometimes found to be positive (Tang et al., Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Widmar, Stewart, Lofgren and Minton2020). This is important to many producers since reproductive failure can result in substantial economic losses (Boyer, Griffith, and DeLong, Reference Boyer, Griffith and DeLong2020).

Results

Table 3 shows the parameter estimates for the hedonic pricing model. The model was estimated with five hundred observations. Heteroscedasticity was also detected in the data across years and sale weight. Therefore, results are estimated using multiplicative heteroscedasticity in the variance equation. The values of all the coefficients were consistent with their expected sign. The table also shows the standardized regression results.

Table 3. Estimated parameters for the bull hedonic pricing model with standardized independent variables (n = 500)

Note: Significance 90%*; 95%**; 99%***.

The binary variable for GE-EPD was insignificant, but the interactions with weaned calf value and birth weight EPD were significant (Table 3). The interactions were used to see if having a GE-EPD had significant price effects given the bulls EPD data. These results indicate that a genomic test does not impact the overall sale price of the bull, even though the EPD accuracies are improved with this test. This could indicate a need to provide additional producer education on the role and value of GE-EPDs and accuracy in making selection decisions. Boyer et al. (Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019) and Tang et al. (Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Widmar, Stewart, Lofgren and Minton2020) showed that EPD values changed over time with the values being low in early years of use but increasing in value over time. More targeted education on GE-EPDs will help producers feel more confident in realizing the value of this test. However, the GE-test did impact how producers value specific EPDs.

A one-unit increase in birth weight EPD results in the bull sale price decreasing by $278 per head. This finding was expected since studies have reported lower birthweight EPDs tend to increase the price of bulls (Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Jones et al., Reference Jones, Turner, Dhuyvetter and Marsh2008; Vestal et al., Reference Vestal, Lusk, DeVuyst and Kropp2013) and birthweight EPD. However, if the bull had a GE-test, the one-unit change in birth weight EPD resulted in sale price declining only $7.82 per head. This is an interesting finding for several reason but will need future research to understand more clearly. The higher accuracies of GE-EPDs lower the impact of the one-unit change in price, suggesting the more producers overvalue the impact of birthweight EPD with less accurate information. Birth weight EPD is a predictor of weaning weight EPD, thus, buying a low-birthweight EPD bull will likely mean weaning weights will be lower. Having more accurate birth weight measurements for progeny might give producers more confidence in purchasing a bull with higher calf birth weights (i.e., more pounds to sale) without exceeding a birth weight threshold for their cows.

Weaned calf value was found to be insignificant with GE-test but positive if the bull had GE-EPDs, indicating an increase in weaned calf value the sale price increases. To our knowledge, this is the first study that presents an estimate of the economic value for this selection index. A one-unit increase in this index, if the bull has GE-EPDs, results in the bull sale price increasing $18.63 per head (Table 4). Our results indicate that bull buyers in this sale do take this EPD into account when purchasing if the bull has GE-EPDs. In addition to weaned calf value EPDs, the American Angus Association also reports multitrait economic selection indexes that predict differences in profitability between sires in certain production scenarios (i.e., terminal, maternal, or both) (American Angus Association, 2022). Little is known about how producers utilize and value these EPDs, and more education on the value of this and other selection indices could improve the selection pressure multiple profit-influencing traits at once.

Table 4. Dollar value of unit and standard deviation changes of statistically significant variables in the model (n = 500)

Ribeye area EPD is the only other EPD that was significant and positively impacted prices. A one-unit change in ribeye area EPD resulted in a $364.35 per head price increase of bulls. A one-unit change would be unlikely for this EPD, and our data range was between −0.8 and 1.36. Thus, for example, a 0.1 unit change in ribeye area results in a per head price increase of $6.5. These estimates in similar ranges of other findings (Tang et al., Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Widmar, Stewart, Lofgren and Minton2020, Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Olynk Widmar, Lusk, Stewart, Lofgreen and Minton2022). Milk EPD was insignificant as expected given previous studies have shown mixed results, which differs from Boyer et al.’s (Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019).

Phenotypic traits that were significant price determinants included weight, frame score, age, and ribeye area (Table 3). Our results are like what others have observed for phenotypic traits (Boyer et al., Reference Boyer, Campbell, Griffith, DeLong, Rhinehart and Kirkpatrick2019; Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017; Tang et al., Reference Tang, Thompson, Boyer, Widmar, Stewart, Lofgren and Minton2020). Sale weight and frame score positively impacted price (Table 3). A one-pound increase in sale weight increased the sale price $5.59 per head (Table 4). A one-unit increase frame score increased price by $277 per head (Table 4). A whole one-unit increase is unlikely, but a 0.1-unit increase would result in a bull sale price increase of $29 per head (Table 4). We also found that a one-unit increase in ribeye area increases price by $65.61 on average (Table 4). Scrotal circumference was significant (Table 3), and a one-unit change resulted in prices increasing $31 per head. These findings suggest that producers have a higher value for larger and more mature bulls, which is consistent with findings from previous studies (Brimlow and Doyle, Reference Brimlow and Doyle2014; Kessler, Pendell, and Enns, Reference Kessler, Pendell and Enns2017).

The standardized coefficients allow for a relative comparison of impact in price. While weight and age had the largest impact on bull sale price, birth weight EPD had the next largest impact followed by weaned calf value from a bull with a GE-EPDs. These EPD values were ranked above several other phenotypic traits.

Conclusions

Data were collected from the University of Tennessee’s Middle Tennessee Research and Education Center bull sale catalog, from years 2013 to 2021, to estimate the impact of specific phenotypic traits and EPDs of the angus bulls sold. We were specifically interested in determining how GE-EPDs impact bull sale prices. A log-level hedonic pricing model was specified and estimated with GE-EPD, EPDs, interactions of GE-EPD and EPDs, and with phenotypic traits.

Genomics provide an inherent benefit to producers by increasing the accuracy of genetic predictions, but their adoption in the industry has been slow. The two unique contributions of this paper are including weaned calf value and GE-EPDs in a bull hedonic pricing model. The results will inform need educational program to bull purchasers on using the newer weaned calf value index and GE-EPDs.

The major findings included the significance of birth weight EPD, ribeye area EPD, weight, frame score, age, and ribeye area in determining bull sale prices. The expected signs match what was estimated. However, GE-EPDs were insignificant, indicating producers are not valuing these test results. The weaned calf value was significant if the bull had GE-EPDs. This study contains key insights not only for producers but also for future studies. Either scenario assumes that the producers want to utilize the information to make a better decision for them, but they cannot do so perfectly. Our research and previous studies suggest that research should be done to understand why GE-EPD technology is not adopted and utilized more by producers. For example, using experimental methods to evaluate how producers value GE-EPDs with and without education could provide insight into how these values could be valued with educational efforts. Additionally, new indexes and EPDs are frequently being introduced. It could be interesting to estimate values of new EPDs for traits like foot score and hair scores.

Data availability statement

The data that support the findings of this study are available on request from the corresponding author, C.N.B. The data are not publicly available due to these data coming from a bull test that producers pay to use.

Acknowledgments

We thank the leadership and staff at the University of Tennessee Research and Education Center in Spring Hill, Tennessee for field research support. Thanks to the reviewers for helpful feedback.

Author contributions

Conceptualization, C.N.B, C.C. M., T.T. T.R. J.R.; methodology, T.T., C.N.B; formal analysis, T.T., C.N.B, data curation, J.R., T.T., C.C. M., C.N.B; writing — original draft, T.T., C.N.B, C.C.; writing — review and editing, C.N.B, C.C. M., T.T. T.R. J.R; supervision, C.N.B.; funding acquisition, C.N.B, C.C. M., T.T. T.R. J.R.

Financial support

This research is also supported by U.S. Department of Agriculture, Cooperative State Research, Education, and Extension Service through Tennessee Hatch Project TEN00442.

Conflict of interest

No authors declare no competing interest.

Footnotes

1 The results have the same interpretation if calving ease direct EPD replaces birth weight EPD. Also, the results are the same for weaned calf value and weaning weight EPD.

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Figure 0

Figure 1. Average annual sale price of angus bulls sold from 2013 to 2021 in the University of Tennessee’s Middle Tennessee Research and Education Center Bull Sale.

Figure 1

Table 1. Definition of independent and dependent variables

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Table 2. Summary statistics of independent and dependent variables

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Table 3. Estimated parameters for the bull hedonic pricing model with standardized independent variables (n = 500)

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Table 4. Dollar value of unit and standard deviation changes of statistically significant variables in the model (n = 500)