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Well-meaning discourses of climate delay

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 November 2020

Paul C. Stern*
Affiliation:
Social and Environmental Research Institute, Shelburne Falls, Massachusetts01370, USA
*
Author for correspondence: Paul C. Stern, E-mail: pstern@seri-us.org

Non-technical summary

Lamb et al. (2020) identified 12 discourses used by a counter-movement to delay or weaken action to limit climate change. This commentary notes three discourses used by those promoting such action that can also delay meaningful action: insisting on transformational change to the exclusion of incremental change, downplaying the value of emissions targets, and focusing attention on adaptation.

Type
Commentaries
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press

Lamb et al. (Reference Lamb, Mattioli, Levi, Roberts, Capstick, Creutzig, Minx, Müller-Hansen, Culhane and Steinberger2020) provide a very useful catalog of 12 ‘discourses of climate delay’ that accept the reality of anthropogenic climate change but are employed by a ‘counter-movement’ to justify delayed or inadequate action to mitigate it. The paper takes a great step forward in unmasking and understanding counterproductive framings of the climate change issue. I write here to identify some other discourses of delay, two of which are embedded in the paper.

One of these is the paper's claims that transformational change is needed in social, economic, and/or political systems to stabilize climate in an acceptable condition and that the push toward incremental solutions tends to crowd out possibilities for transformation. This can be a discourse of delay in that focusing only on transformational change may crowd out promising incremental efforts. Incremental changes have the relative advantage of greater feasibility, especially in the short run. And because of the long half-lives of greenhouse gases, reductions achieved quickly are more valuable than delayed ones. Whether incremental and transformational changes compete in a zero-sum fashion as the paper proposes is an empirical question. Some incremental changes may even facilitate transformation, as suggested by the transformational changes in energy systems that are starting to flow from incremental deployment of distributed solar energy systems.

Second, treating emissions target setting as a discourse of delay can itself be a discourse of delay. Verbal targets set by countries, cities, or companies are certainly insufficient on their own, but they can also provide serious steps forward, especially when stronger agreements are not yet feasible and when social movements, investors, insurers, competitors, and other change agents can provide checks against toothless commitments, thus pushing target setters to make progress they might not otherwise have made. Especially with international agreements, incremental steps may be the only possible beginnings (Keohane & Victor, Reference Keohane and Victor2016).

A third discourse of delay focuses on adapting to climate change. Adaptation, and especially anticipatory efforts at reducing vulnerability to foreseeable events, is critical. It is often more feasible to achieve than mitigation because the risks are typically local and readily visible. But an adaptation emphasis can delay mitigation efforts by suggesting the risks are reduced. Some of them are reduced in the short run, but delaying mitigation increases risks in the longer run and does not reduce climate-driven social stresses that can be imagined but not predicted (National Research Council, 2013). Also, as a matter of science policy, resources devoted to adaptation compete with mitigation efforts, which reduce the full range of climate risks, both expectable and unpredictable, for everyone.

In sum, advocates for combatting climate change should look in the mirror as well as out the window to spot discourses of delay.

Acknowledgements

The author acknowledges Michael P. Vandenbergh who provided comments on a draft.

Author contributions

PCS wrote the article.

Conflict of interest

PCS has collaborated with three of the coauthors of the Lamb et al. article: Roberts, Capstick, and Creutzig.

References

Keohane, R. O., & Victor, D. G. (2016). Cooperation and discord in global climate policy. Nature Climate Change, 6, 570575.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lamb, W. F., Mattioli, G., Levi, S., Roberts, J. T., Capstick, S., Creutzig, F., Minx, J. C., Müller-Hansen, F., Culhane, T., & Steinberger, J. K. (2020). Discourses of climate delay. Global Sustainability, 3, e17, 1–5. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2020.13.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
National Research Council (2013). Climate and social stress: Implications for security analysis. National Academies Press.Google Scholar