Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-n9wrp Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-19T08:50:04.923Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Is the “largest study ever conducted” on nuclear industry workers really the largest?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 March 2009

J. Estève*
Affiliation:
Laboratoire Statistique et Santé, CNRS, UMR 5558, CHU Lyon, 69000 Lyon, France
Get access

Abstract

The 15-country study on cancer mortality among nuclear radiation workers, coordinated by the International Agency for Research on Cancer is repeatedly cited as “the largest study ever conducted on the subject”. This article shows that, despite the very large number of included subjects, this cohort study is less informative that two previous studies including a smaller number of persons. Moreover the statistical significance of the excess relative risk of cancer (except leukaemia) per Sievert, considered as an argument supporting the Linear No Threshold relation, is shown to be a consequence of some aspects of the design and of the lack of robustness of the method of analysis for the evaluation of the lower dose effect. After taking into account these weakness of the design, this important epidemiological study must continued since it is one of the few ways to obtain information on the effect of low dose at low dose rate on human subjects.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© EDP Sciences, 2009

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Brenner D.J., Sachs R.K. (2006) Estimating radiation-induced cancer risks at very low doses: rationale for using a linear no-threshold approach, Radiat. Environ. Biophys. 44(4), 253-256.
Breslow N.E., Day N.E. (1987) Statistical Methods in Cancer Research, Vol. II: The Design and Analysis of Cohort Studies, IARC Scientific Publication n° 82, IARC Press Lyon, p. 105.
Cardis E., Gilbert E.S., Carpenter L., Howe G., Armstrong B.K., Cowper G. et al. (1994) Direct estimates of cancer mortality due to low doses of ionising radiation: an international study, The Lancet 344,1039-1043.
Cardis E., Gilbert E.S., Carpenter L., Howe G., Kato I., Armstrong B.K. et al. (1995) Effects of low doses and low dose rates of external ionizing radiation: cancer mortality among nuclear industry workers in three countries, Radiat. Res. 142(2), 117-132.
Cardis E., Vrijheid M., Blettner M., Gilbert E., Hakama M., Hill C. et al. (2005) Risk of cancer after low doses of ionising radiation: retrospective cohort study in 15 countries, BMJ 331(7508), 77.
Cardis E., Vrijheid M., Blettner M., Gilbert E., Hakama M., Hill C. et al. (2007) The 15-Country Collaborative Study of Cancer Risk among Radiation Workers in the Nuclear Industry: estimates of radiation-related cancer risks, Radiat. Res. 167(4), 396-416.
de Vathaire F., Hawkins M., Campbell S., Oberlin O., Raquin M.A., Schlienger J.Y. et al. (1999) Second malignant neoplasms after a first cancer in childhood: temporal pattern of risk according to type of treatment, Br. J. Cancer 79(11-12), 1884-1893.
Estève J. (1995) L'évaluation des risques de cancer liés à l'exposition aux faibles doses de rayonnements délivrées à faible débit. In: Rapport de l'académie des sciences n°34: Problèmes liés aux effets des faibles doses de radiations ionisantes. Paris, pp. 89-100.
Howe G.R., Zablotska L.B., Fix J.J., Egel J., Buchanan J. (2004) Analysis of the mortality experience amongst U.S. nuclear power industry workers after chronic low-dose exposure to ionizing radiation, Radiat. Res. 162(5), 517-526.
ICRP Publication 60 (1991) 1990 Recommendations of the International Commission on Radiological Protection, Ann. ICRP 21.
Muirhead C.R., Goodill A.A., Haylock R.G., Vokes J., Little M.P., Jackson D.A. et al. (1999) Occupational radiation exposure and mortality: second analysis of the National Registry for Radiation Workers, J. Radiol. Prot. 19(1), 3-26.
NRC (2006) National Research Council of the National Academies, Health Risks from Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation (BEIR VII, Phase 2). Washington, DC, National Academies Press.
Preston D.L., Pierce D.A., Shimizu Y., Cullings H.M., Fujita S., Funamoto S. et al. (2004) Effect of recent changes in atomic bomb survivor dosimetry on cancer mortality risk estimates, Radiat. Res. 162(4), 377-389.
Tubiana M., Aurengo A., Averbeck D., Masse R. (2006) Recent reports on the effect of low doses of ionizing radiation and its dose-effect relationship, Radiat. Environ. Biophys. 44(4), 245-251.
Zablotska L.B., Ashmore J.P., Howe G.R. (2004) Analysis of mortality among Canadian nuclear power industry workers after chronic low-dose exposure to ionizing radiation, Radiat. Res. 161(6), 633-641.