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Influence of 14C Concentration Changes in the Past On Statistical Inference of Time Intervals

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 July 2016

Adam Michczyński*
Affiliation:
Radiocarbon Laboratory, Institute of Physics, Silesian University of Technology, Bolesława Krzywoustego 2, 44-100 Gliwice, Poland. Email: amichcz@polsl.gliwice.pl
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Abstract

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The influence of the calibration curve on the statistical inference of time intervals was investigated. For this purpose, the calculation of the summed probability density function was used. Computer simulations were done for batches of 11 samples, each time uniformly covering 200-yr time intervals. The results show that the calibration curve causes the summed probability density function of a group to cover a wider interval than the real-time interval of the phenomenon. Moreover, the estimated time interval may be often shifted in relation to the real-time interval.

Type
Part II
Copyright
Copyright © The Arizona Board of Regents on behalf of the University of Arizona 

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