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Evaluations of the 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts

  • James E. Campbell (a1), Alan I. Abramowitz (a2), Joseph Bafumi (a3), Robert S. Erikson (a4), Christopher Wlezien (a5), Michael S. Lewis-Beck (a6), Charles Tien (a7), Benjamin Highton (a8), Eric McGhee (a9) and John Sides (a10)...

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Brier, Glenn W. 1950. “Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability.” Monthly Weather Review 78: 13.
Highton, Benjamin, McGhee, Eric, and Sides, John. 2014. “Election Fundamentals and Polls Favor the Republicans.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47 (4): 786–8.
Sides, John. 2014a. “What’s the Value of Early Senate Polls?” The Monkey Cage, July 10. Available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/07/10/whats-the-value-of-early-senate-polls/.
Sides, John. 2014b. “Final Forecast: Republicans Have a 98% Chance of Taking the Senate.” The Monkey Cage, November 4. Available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/11/04/final-forecast-republicans-have-a-98-chance-of-taking-the-senate/
Sides, John. 2014c. “Election Lab on Track to Forecast 35 of 36 Senate Races Correctly.” The Monkey Cage, November 5: Available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/11/05/election-lab-on-track-to-forecast-35-of-36-senate-races-correctly/
Wasserman, David. 2014. “2014 National House Popular Vote Tracker.” Available at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdHVsbnNNdXRoaUE5QThHclNWaTgzb2c&usp=drive_web#gid=0.

Evaluations of the 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts

  • James E. Campbell (a1), Alan I. Abramowitz (a2), Joseph Bafumi (a3), Robert S. Erikson (a4), Christopher Wlezien (a5), Michael S. Lewis-Beck (a6), Charles Tien (a7), Benjamin Highton (a8), Eric McGhee (a9) and John Sides (a10)...

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