Skip to main content Accessibility help

We use cookies to distinguish you from other users and to provide you with a better experience on our websites. Close this message to accept cookies or find out how to manage your cookie settings.

Close cookie message
×
Home
  • Home
Hostname: page-component-559fc8cf4f-s5ss2 Total loading time: 0.811 Render date: 2021-02-26T23:19:51.938Z Has data issue: true Feature Flags: { "shouldUseShareProductTool": true, "shouldUseHypothesis": true, "isUnsiloEnabled": true, "metricsAbstractViews": false, "figures": false, "newCiteModal": false, "newCitedByModal": true }
EnglishFrançais
PS: Political Science & Politics PS: Political Science & Politics

Article contents

The Seats-in-Trouble Forecast of the 2014 Midterm Congressional Elections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 October 2014

James E. Campbell
James E. Campbell
Affiliation:
University at Buffalo, SUNY
Get access
Rights & Permissions[Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Image of the first page of this article
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content.
Type
Symposium: The 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 47 , Issue 4 , October 2014 , pp. 779 - 781
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below.
If you should have access and can't see this content please contact technical support.

References

Bafumi, Joseph, Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2010. “Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: The 2010 Midterm Election.” PS: Political Science and Politics 43 (4): 633–36.Google Scholar
Campbell, Angus. 1966. “Surge and Decline: A Study of Electoral Change.” In Elections and the Political Order, ed. Campbell, A., Converse, P. E., Miller, W. E., and Stokes, D. E.. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2012. “Forecasting the Presidential and Congressional Elections of 2012: The Trial-Heat and the Seats-in-Trouble Models.” PS: Political Science and Politics 45 (4): 630–34.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2011. “The Predicted Midterm Landslide.” PS: Political Science and Politics 44 (1): 1.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2010a. “Accuracy,” http://cookpolitical.com/about/accuracy. Accessed July 1, 2014.
Campbell, James E. 2010b. “The Seats in Trouble Forecast of the 2010 Elections to the U.S. House.” PS: Political Science and Politics 43 (4): 627–30.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2010c. “The Midterm Landslide of 2010: A Triple Wave Election.” The Forum: A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics 8 (4): 1–19.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2006. “Forecasting the 2006 National Elections to the U.S. House of Representatives.” The Forum: A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics 4(1): article 2, 1–12.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, James E. 1997. The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections, Second Edition. Lexington: The University Press of Kentucky.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 1986. “Forecasting the 1986 Midterm Elections to the House of Representatives.” PS: Political Science and Politics 19 (1): 83–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gaddie, Ronald Keith. 1997. “Congressional Seat Swings: Revisiting Exposure in House Elections.” Political Research Quarterly 50 (3): 699–710.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oppenheimer, Bruce I., Stimson, James A., and Waterman, Richard W.. 1986. “Interpreting U.S. Congressional Elections: The Exposure Thesis.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 11 (2): 227–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tufte, Edward R. 1975. “Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections.” American Political Science Review 69 (3): 812–26.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Full text views

Full text views reflects PDF downloads, PDFs sent to Google Drive, Dropbox and Kindle and HTML full text views.

Total number of HTML views: 11
Total number of PDF views: 48 *
View data table for this chart

* Views captured on Cambridge Core between September 2016 - 26th February 2021. This data will be updated every 24 hours.

2 Cited by

Send article to Kindle

To send this article to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about sending to your Kindle. Find out more about sending to your Kindle.

Note you can select to send to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be sent to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

The Seats-in-Trouble Forecast of the 2014 Midterm Congressional Elections
Available formats
×

Send article to Dropbox

To send this article to your Dropbox account, please select one or more formats and confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your <service> account. Find out more about sending content to Dropbox.

The Seats-in-Trouble Forecast of the 2014 Midterm Congressional Elections
Available formats
×

Send article to Google Drive

To send this article to your Google Drive account, please select one or more formats and confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your <service> account. Find out more about sending content to Google Drive.

The Seats-in-Trouble Forecast of the 2014 Midterm Congressional Elections
Available formats
×
×

Reply to: Submit a response

Your details

Conflicting interests

Do you have any conflicting interests? *