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Congressional Election Forecasting

  • Michael S. Lewis-Beck (a1) and Tom W. Rice (a2)




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Abramowitz, Alan I. and Segal, Jeffrey A.. 1986. Determinants of the Outcomes of U.S. Senate Elections. The Journal of Politics 48:433439.
Bloom, Howard S. and Price, H. Douglas. 1975. Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions: The Asymmetric Effect of Prosperity and Recession. American Political Science Review 69:12401254.
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Budge, Ian and Farlie, Dennis J.. 1983. Explaining and Predicting Elections. London: Allen and Unwin.
Campbell, James E. 1985. Explaining Presidential Losses in Midterm Congressional Elections. The Journal of Politics 47:11401157.
Campbell, James E. 1986. Forecasting the 1986 Midterm Elections to the House of Representatives. PS (Winter): 8387.
Fair, Ray C. 1982. The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results. The Review of Economics and Statistics 64:322325.
Hibbing, John R. and Alford, John R.. 1982. Economic Conditions and the Forgotten Side of Congress: A Foray into US Senate Elections. British Journal of Political Science 12:505513.
Hibbs, Douglas A. Jr. 1982. President Reagan's Mandate From the 1980 Elections: A Shift to the Right? American Politics Quarterly 10:387420.
Jacobson, Gary C. and Kernell, Samuel. 1983. Strategy and Choice in Congressional Elections. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Kramer, Gerald H. 1971. Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964. American Political Science Review 65:131143.
Lepper, Susan J. 1974. Voting Behavior and Aggregate Policy Targets. Public Choice 18:6881.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1980. Applied Regression: An Introduction. Beverly Hills: Sage.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1985a. Election Forecasts in 1984: How Accurate Were They? PS 18:5362.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1985b. Un Modele de Prevision des Elections Legislatives Francaises (Avec Une Application Pour 1986). Revue Francaise de Science Politique 35 (No. 6): 10801091.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1987. A Model Performance. Public Opinion 9 (No. 6, March/April):5758.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Rice, Tom W.. 1984a. Forecasting U.S. House Elections. Legislative Studies Quarterly 9:475486.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Rice, Tom W.. 1984b. Forecasting Presidential Elections: A Comparison of Naive Models. Political Behavior 6:3951.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Rice, Tom W.. 1985. Are Senate Election Outcomes Predictable? PS 17:745753.
Rosenstone, Steven J. 1983. Forecasting Presidential Elections. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Stimson, James A., Oppenheimer, Bruce I. and Waterman, Richard W.. 1986. Interpreting U.S. Congressional Elections: The Exposure Thesis. Legislative Studies Quarterly 7:227247.
Tufte, Edward R. 1975. Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections. American Political Science Review 69:812826.
Tufte, Edward R. 1978. Political Control of the Economy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.


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