Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-c4f8m Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-25T04:33:44.879Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

From Thaw to Deluge: Party System Collapse in Venezuela and Peru

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2018

Abstract

What conditions facilitate party system collapse, the farthest-reaching variant of party system change? How does collapse occur? Numerous studies of lesser types of party system change exist, but studies of party system collapse are rare. This study draws on the existing literature and the cases of party system collapse in Venezuela (1988–2000) and Peru (1985–95) to advance some answers to the important questions about the phenomenon. The study posits three conditions that predispose political party systems to collapse: the presence of an acute or sustained crisis that questions the ability of system-sustaining political parties to govern; extremely low or extremely high levels of party system institutionalization; and the emergence of an anti-establishment figure with the desire and personal authority to generate a viable alternative to the established party system. The study also posits a three-election sequential process during which collapse takes place.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © University of Miami 2007

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Agüero, Felipe. 1995. Crisis and Decay of Democracy in Venezuela: The Civil-Military Dimension. In Venezuelan Democracy Under Stress, ed. McCoy, Jennifer, Serbin, Andrés, Smith, William C., and Stambouli, Andrés Boulder: Lynne Rienner, 215–36.Google Scholar
Alfaro, Ucero Luis. 1997. Former Secretary General, Acción Democrática. Author interview. September 11.Google Scholar
Barczak, Monica. 2001. Representation by Consultation? the Rise of Direct Democracy in Latin America. Latin American Politics and Society 43, 3 (Fall): 3759.Google Scholar
Bernhard, Michael. 2001. Democratization in Germany: a Reappraisal. Comparative Politics 33, 4: 379400.Google Scholar
Brooks, Clem, and Manza, Jeff 1997. The Social and Ideological Bases of Middle-Class Political Realignment in the United States, 1972 to 1992. American Sociological Review 62, 2 (April): 191208.Google Scholar
Burgess, Katrina, and Levitsky, Stephen 2003. Explaining Populist Party Adaptation in Latin America: Environmental and Organizational Determinates of Party Change in Argentina, Mexico, Peru, and Venezuela. Comparative Political Studies 36, 8: 881911.Google Scholar
Carrasquero, José, and Welsch, Friedrich 2001. Revolución en democracia o retorno al caudillismo. In Venezuela en transición: elecciones y democracia 1998–2000, ed. Carrasquero, , Maingon, Thais, and Welsch, Caracas: CDB. 6986.Google Scholar
Carty, Kenneth, Cross, William, and Young, Lisa 2000. Rebuilding Canadian Party Politics. Vancouver, BC: University of British Columbia Press.Google Scholar
Clarke, Harold, and Suzuki, Motoshi 1994. Partisan Dealignment and the Dynamics of Independence in the American Electorate, 1953–88. British Journal of Political Science 24, 1: 5777.Google Scholar
Clarke, Harold D., Jenson, Jane, LeDuc, Lawrence, and Pammett, Jon H. 1996. Absent Mandate: Canadian Electoral Politics in an Era of Restructuring. 3rd ed. Toronto: Gage.Google Scholar
Conaghan, Catherine. 2001. Making and Unmaking Authoritarian Peru: Re-Election, Resistance, and Regime Transition. Working Paper 47. Coral Gables: North-South Center, University of Miami.Google Scholar
Coppedge, Michael. 1994. Strong Parties and Lame Ducks: Presidential Partyarchy and Factionalism in Venezuela. Stanford: Stanford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cotler, Julio. 1995. Political Parties and the Problems of Democratic Consolidation in Peru. In Mainwaring and Scully 1995. 323–53.Google Scholar
Crabtree, John. 1992. Peru Under García: An Opportunity Lost. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.Google Scholar
Crabtree, John. 2001. The Collapse of Fujimorismo: Authoritarianism and Its Limits. Journal of Latin American Studies 30, 2: 287303.Google Scholar
Dahl, Robert. 1971. Polyarchy: Participation and Opposition. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Dalton, Russell J., and Wattenberg, Martin, eds. 2000. Parties Without Partisans: Political Change in the Advanced Industrial Democracies. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Dalton, Russell J., Flanagan, Scott, and Beck, Paul Alan, eds. 1984. Electoral Change in Advanced Industrial Democracies: Realignment or Dealignment? Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Dix, Robert H. 1989. Cleavage Structures and Party Systems in Latin America. Comparative Politics 22, 1 (October): 2337.Google Scholar
Ellner, Steve. 1988. Venezuela's Movimiento al Socialismo: From Guerrilla Defeat to Innovative Politics. Durham: Duke University Press.Google Scholar
Garrido, Alberto. 2000. La historia secreta de la revolución bolivariana. 2nd edition. Mérida, Venezuela: Editorial Venezuela.Google Scholar
Graham, Carole. 1992. Peru's APRA: The Elusive Quest for Democracy. Boulder: Lynn Reinner.Google Scholar
Huntington, Samuel P. 1991. The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century. Norman: University of Oklahoma Press.Google Scholar
Janda, Kenneth. 1993. Comparative Political Parties: Research and Theory. In Political Science: The State of the Discipline, vol. 2, ed. Finifter, Ada Washington, DC: American Political Science Association. 163–90.Google Scholar
Klesner, Joseph L. 1997. Democratic Transition? the 1997 Mexican Elections. PS: Political Science and Politics 30, 4: 703–11.Google Scholar
Kornblith, Miriam, and Levine, Daniel 1995. Venezuela: the Life and times of the Party System. In Mainwaring and Scully 1995. 3771.Google Scholar
Lane, Jan-Erik, and Ersson, Svante 1987. Multipartism. In The Logic of Multiparty Systems, ed. Nijhoff, Martinus Boston: Kluwer. 151–72.Google Scholar
Levitsky, Steven. 1998. Crisis, Party Adaptation, and Regime Stability in Argentina: the Case of Peronism, 1989–1995. Party Politics 4, 4: 445–70.Google Scholar
Levitsky, Steven. 2003. Transforming Labor-Based Parties in Latin America: Argentine Peronism in Comparative Perspective. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Lipset, Seymour M., and Rokkan, Stein 1967. Cleavage Structures, Party Systems, and Voter Alignments: An Introduction. In Party Systems and Voter Alignments, ed. Lipset, and Rokkan, , New York: Free Press. 164.Google Scholar
López-Maya, Margerita. 2003. Hugo Chávez Frias: His Movement and His Presidency. In Venezuelan Politics in the Chavez Era: Class Polarization and Conflict, ed. Ellner, Steve and Hellinger, Daniel Boulder: Lynne Rienner. 7392.Google Scholar
MacKuen, Michael B., Erikson, Robert S., and Stimpson, James A. 1989. Macropartisanship. American Political Science Review 83, 4: 1125–42.Google Scholar
Maingon, Thais, and Patruyo, Thanalí 1996. Las elecciones locales y regionales de 1995: tendencias políticas. Cuestiones Políticas 16: 91116.Google Scholar
Mainwaring, Scott. 1998. Party Systems in the Third Wave. Journal of Democracy 9, 3: 6781.Google Scholar
Mainwaring, Scott, and Torcal, Mariano 2005. Party System Institutionalization and Party System Theory After the Third Wave of Democratization. Working Paper 319. Notre Dame: Kellogg Center, University of Notre Dame.Google Scholar
Mainwaring, Scott, and Scully, Timothy, eds. 1995. Building Democratic Institutions: Parties and Party Systems in Latin America. Stanford: Stanford University Press.Google Scholar
Mair, Peter. 2001. The Freezing Hypothesis. In Party Systems and Voter Alignments Revisited, ed. Karvonen, Lauri and Kuhle, Stein. London: Routledge. 2644.Google Scholar
Mair, Peter. 2002. Comparing Party Systems. In Comparing Democracies 2: New Challenges in the Study of Elections and Voting, ed. LeDuc, Lawrence, Niemi, Richard G., and Norris, Pippa. Thousand Oaks: Sage. 88107.Google Scholar
Mair, Peter, and Sakono, Tomokazu 1998. Japanese Political Realignment in Perspective: Change or Restoration? Party Politics 4, 2: 77201.Google Scholar
Martz, John D. 1966. Acción Democrática: The Evolution of a Modern Political Party in Venezuela. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
McCoy, Jennifer L. 1999. Chávez and the End of “Partyarchy” in Venezuela. Journal of Democracy 10, 3: 6477.Google Scholar
Miller, Gary, and Schofield, Norman 2003. Activists and Partisan Realignment in the United States. American Political Science Review 97, 2: 245–60.Google Scholar
Miller, William L., and Niemi, Richard G. 2002. Voting Choice, Conditioning, and Constraint. In Comparing Democracies 2: New Challenges in the Study of Elections and Voting, ed. LeDuc, Lawrence, Niemi, Richard G., and Norris, Pippa. Thousand Oaks: Sage. 169–88.Google Scholar
Molina, José. 1998. Electoral Systems and Democratic Legitimacy in Venezuela. In Reinventing Legitimacy: Democracy and Political Change in Venezuela, ed. Canache, Damarys and Kulischeck, Michael R.. Westport: Greenwood Press. 5162.Google Scholar
Molina, José. 2002. The Presidential and Parliamentary Elections of the Bolivarian Revolution in Venezuela: Change and Continuity (1998–2000). Bulletin of Latin American Research 21, 2: 219–47.Google Scholar
Molina, José, and Pérez, Carmen 2004. Radical Change at the Ballot Box: Causes and Consequences of Electoral Behavior in Venezuela's 2000 Elections. Latin American Politics and Society 46, 1: 103–34.Google Scholar
Myers, David J. 2004. Venezuela's Punto Fijo Party System: A Failed Corporatist Mediator. In Authoritarian and Corporativism in Latin America Revisited, ed. Wiarda, Howard J. Gainesville: University Press of Florida. 141–72.Google Scholar
Neumann, Sigmund. 1956. Germany: Changing Patterns and Lasting Problems. In Modern Political Parties, ed. Neumann, . Chicago: University of Chicago Press. 354–94.Google Scholar
Parsons, Talcott. 1951. The Social System. Glencoe: Free Press.Google Scholar
Penfold, Michael. 2001. El colapso del sistema de partidos en Venezuela: explicación de una muerte anunciada. In Venezuela en transición: elecciones y democrácia 1998–2000, ed. Carrasquero, José, Maingon, Thais, and Welsch, Friedrich. Caracas: CDB. 3651.Google Scholar
Poguntke, Thomas. 1996. Anti-Party Sentiment: Conceptual Thoughts and Empirical Evidence: Explorations into a Minefield. European Journal of Political Research 29, 3: 319–44.Google Scholar
Przeworski, Adam, and Teune, Henry 1970. The Logic of Comparative Social Inquiry, New York: John Wiley.Google Scholar
Roberts, Kenneth M. 1996. Economic Crisis and the Demise of the Legal Left in Peru. Comparative Politics 29, 1: 6992.Google Scholar
Roberts, Kenneth M. 2002. Social Inequalities without Class Cleavages in Latin America's Neoliberal Era. Studies in Comparative International Development 36, 4: 333.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Roberts, Kenneth M., and Wibbels, Erik 1999. Party System and Electoral Volatility in Latin America: a Test of Economic, Institutional, and Structural Explanations. American Political Science Review 93, 3: 575–89.Google Scholar
Romero, Aníbal. 1996. La miseria del populismo: mitos y realidades de la democracia en Venezuela. 3rd ed. Caracas: Panapo.Google Scholar
Rose, Richard, and Mackie, Thomas T. 1988. Do Parties Persist or Fail? The Big Trade-off Facing Organizations. In When Parties Fail: Emerging Alternative Organizations, ed. Lawson, Kay and Merkl, Peter H.. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 109–34.Google Scholar
Sartori, Giovanni. 1976. Parties and Party Systems: A Framework for Analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Scarrow, Susan. 2000. Parties without Members? Party Organizations in a Changing Electoral Environment. In Dalton and Wattenberg 2000. 209–38.Google Scholar
Seawright, Jason. 2004. The “Demand Side” of Party System Collapse: Political Preferences and Votes for Insurgent Parties. Paper prepared for workshop “Analysis of Political Cleavages and Party Competition,” Duke University, April 2–3.Google Scholar
Seligson, Mitchell A. 2002. The Impact of Corruption on Regime Legitimacy: a Comparative Study of Four Latin American Countries. Journal of Politics 64, 2: 408–33.Google Scholar
Stewart, Marianne C., and Clarke, Harold D. 1998. The Dynamics of Party Identification in Federal Systems: the Canadian Case. American Journal of Political Science 41, 2: 97116.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tanaka, Martín. 1998. Los espejimos de la democracia: el colapso del sistema de partidos en el Perú. Lima: Institute de Estudios Peruanos.Google Scholar
Tuesta, Fernando. 2001. Perú político en cifras, 1821–2001. Lima: Fundación Friedrich Ebert.Google Scholar
Tuesta, Fernando, ed. 1996. Los enigmas del poder. Fujimori 1990–1996. Lima: Fundación Friedrich Ebert.Google Scholar
Vivas, Leonardo. 1999. Chávez: la última revolución del siglo. Caracas: Torino.Google Scholar
Weber, Max. 1947. Max Weber: The Theory of Social and Economic Organization. Translated by Henderson, A. M. and Parsons, Talcott. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
Wellhofer, E. Spenser. 2001. Party Realignment and Voter Transition in Italy, 1987–1996. Comparative Political Studies 34, 2: 156–86.Google Scholar
Yin, Robert K. 2003. Case Study Research: Design and Methods. 3rd ed. Thousand Oaks: Sage.Google Scholar