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        Recession of Yanamarey Glacier in Cordillera Blanca, Peru, during the 20th century
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        Recession of Yanamarey Glacier in Cordillera Blanca, Peru, during the 20th century
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Abstract

For Yanamarey Glacier in Cordillera Blanca, Peru, mostly situated between about 5000 and 4600 m, maps of the surface topography at a scale of 1: 5000 obtained by terrestrial triangulation for 1973, 1982 and 1988 and by aerial photogrammetry for 1948 and 1962 are compared with the glacier boundaries from a 1939 map and an undated maximum extent inferred from moraine morphology. The glacier length decreased from the maximum, 2800 m to 1600 m in 1948. and to 1250 m in 1988, with an accompanying decrease in area from 17 × 105 to 10 × 105 and thence to 8 × 105 m2. The shrinkage of ice volume was 35 × 106 m3 from the maximum to 1948. and 29 × 106 m3 from 1948 to 1988. compared to a total remaining ice volume of about 25 × 106 m3 in 1988. This quantitative assessment of mass-loss rates creates the observational basis for sensitivity studies of the climatic forcing.

Introduction

Glaciers in the high mountains of the tropics merit attention in the context of global change. Monitoring and documentation efforts at the international level (Haeberli and Hoelzlc, 1993; Haeberli and others, 1993) bear out the dearth of information especially for the tropical half of the Earth. Successive reconstructions have, however, afforded a general overview of secular glacier variations in the low latitudes. Thus, in East Africa, glaciers began to recede alter 1880, as evidenced by a combination of field observations, expedition reports and numerical modeling (Hastenrath. 1984: Kruss, 1984). For New Guinea (Hope and others, 1976), Allison and Kruss 1971 deduced from numerical modeling an onset of glacier recession around 1850. For the Ecuadorian Andes, evaluation of historical sources (Hastenrath, 1981) indicates a gradual rise of the ice-equilibrium line since at least the middle of the 19th century. For the most recent decades, continuing decrease of the ice-covered area has been reported in the Venezuelan Andes (Schubert, 1992), and accelerated volume loss has been measured on the largest outlet glacier of the Quelccaya Ice Cap of southern Peru (Brecher and Thompson, 1993).

With this background, the Cordillera Blanca of northern Peru (Fig. 1) merits particular attention, because it was the object of a systematic glacier inventory and mapping in the 1930s (Kinzl. 1942. 1949, 1964) and of later work by the Unidad de Glaciología e Hidrología, Electroperu (Ames and others. 1988; Kaser and others, 1990). Glaciological monitoring by Electroperu in the 1970s and 1980s included repeated terrestrial mapping of surface topography and ice extent of Yanamarey Glacier in the Cordillera Blanca. For 1962 and 1918 it proved possible to map the surface topography of this glacier from historical air photography. In addition, ice boundaries could be traced for the 1930s from an expedition account (Kinzl, 1942, 1964), and for a maximum extent from large moraines. In the present paper, this diverse evidence is compiled and evaluated to reconstruct the length, area and volume changes of Yanamarey Glacier over much of the past century. This is motivated by the need for quantitative information for analysis of the climatic forcing.

Fig. 1. Orientation map of Cordillera Blanca with height contours of 3000 and 5000 m; scale 1:1000000. Rectangle in southeast corner indicates area of Yanamarey Glacier in Figure 2. Insert in upper-right corner shows location of Cordillera Blanca within Peru.

2. The Mappings

Information of varied detail and quality is available for seven dates: an undated maximum extent indicated by moraines, and May-August 1939, 31 August 1948, 17 June 1962. 10 May 1973. 19 August 1982 and 10 August 1988. The scale used in all maps is 1:5000.

The maps for 1973. 1982 and 1988, created by A. Ames, were produced by double-theodolite triangulation of a target rod held by a mobile collaborator, from precision-surveyed control points on rock outside the glacier (Fig. 2). These reference points arc tied into the UTM coordinate system (Instituto Geográfico Militar. 1970, 1976). Contour spacing was 25 m. From the roughness of the glacier surface, tolerance is estimated at about 10 cm, although the surveying method yields a much higher precision.

Fig. 2. Map showing the ice extent of Yanamarey Glacier to the maximum inferred from large moraines and for the dates May-August 1939, 31 August 1948. 19 June 1962, 10 May 1973, 19 August 1982 and 10 August 1988. Triangles indicate terrain-control points, and open circles the coordinated reference points used in the 1962 and 1948 maps. Contours at 100 m intervals are given for the 1988 status. 1988 extent of lake is shown by dotted line. Also entered is central longitudinal line with marks at 100 m spacing from upper edge of glacier (Fig. 3). Scale 1:20000.

The maps for 1962 and 1948 were produced by J. Scherz. University of Wisconsin-Madison, U.S.A. by stereo-photogrammetric analysis of historical vertical air photographs. The particulars for 17 June 1962 are AF-60-17, M134, frames 15420 and 15421, indicated focal length 153.035 mm. The details for 31 August 1948 are 457-88-B, frames 2524-866 and 2524-867. with the same focal length assumed. A compilation scale of I: 7812 and subsequent enlargement to scale 1:5000 was used with a contour interval of 25 m. Tolerance is estimated at about 2 m. As reference, four control points (Fig. 2) were available, determined in the coordinate system mentioned above. The 1962 map was compiled first, and supported by this the work for 1948 was undertaken. Coverage precluded mapping of the upper reaches of the glacier in 1948.

A major accomplishment of the mountaineering and scientific expeditions of the Deutsch Österreichischer Alpenverein to the Cordillera Bianca in the 1930s (Kinzl. 1942, 1949, 1964) was a first inventory and mapping of the glaciers. A result of this effort is a topographic map at scale 1:100 000 based on terrestrial photogrammetry during May August 1939. It proved possible to enlarge a part of this map to the 1: 25 000 scale of the official map sheet (Instituto Geográfico Militar, 1970), in order to identify prominent terrain features, and on this basis to transfer the 1939 boundaries of Yanamarey Glacier into the UTM coordinate system, with a tolerance of about 20 m. The 1939 ice extent thus obtained is also shown in Figures 2 and 3.

Fig. 3. Longitudinal profiles along central line shown in Figure 2; stale 1:20000. a. Longitudinal-vertical cross-section with no vertical exaggeration. Cross-hatching denotes bedrock; dotted, broken, solid, dash-dotted, dotted, broken and solid lines denote the ice surface topography J or the maximum ice extent and 1939.1948, 1962. 1973, 1982 and 1988. respectively. Vertical lick marks show terminus positions, including those for 1939 and the maximum extent, b. Glacier width plotted against distance from head, as measured along the lines passing through the equidistant Points perpendicular to the central longitudinal line shown in Figure 1. for the maximum extent and 1939, 1948. 1962. 1973. 1982 and 1988. in m. Tick marks and labels on the middle horizontal scale indicate the terminus positions for these dates.

Finally, a maximum ice extent, without date, was determined From a system of large moraines that are prominent on air photographs; 1962-63, AF-60-17: Ml32, 19 June 1962, frames 16701-16702; M163. 12 July 1962, frames 21094-21095: M337, 23 May 1963. frames 41071-41072). Using identifiable terrain features for reference, these were transferred on to the existing 1:25 000 sheet Instituto Geográfico Militar, 1970; and thus into the UTM coordinate system, with a tolerance of about 20 m. The maximum extent of the lower part of Yanamarey Glacier thus obtained is also shown in Figures 25.

3. Evaluation

The diverse evidence described in section 2 needed to be evaluated in an internally consistent context. To that end, the maps for the various dates were brought into the same system of coordinates of the national map as indicated above. The entire information content of each of the 1988. 1982, and 1973 maps, namely coordinate system, control points, glacier boundary, and height contours as well as central longitudinal line with points at 100 m spacing (Figs 2 and 3), was digitally transferred to a database. The same was done for the 1962 and 1948 maps. For the epochs 1939 and “maximum extent” the input consisted of the ice boundary in the lower part of the glacier, together with the central line and equidistant points. The subsequent work could proceed digitally.

From the height contours, the surface topography was linearly interpolated on to a rectangular grid with 2 m spacing. Forming differences at each grid point gave the surface lowering between surveys, or the ice-thickness change.

The glacier was divided into 100 m wide bands, bounded by lines passing through the aforementioned equidistant points perpendicular to the central longitudinal line (Figs 2 and 3). Areas and area changes of these bands were evaluated digitally. Also, for these domains, the volume changes between surveys were determined by integrating the ice-thickness change over the respective areas.

Estimates of ice thickness, and thus volume, were obtained for the 1982 date. Essential for this was the bedrock topography along the central longitudinal line Fig. 3a). This was available with a tolerance of about 10 m from numerical modeling to be detailed elsewhere in due course. Assuming a parabolic shape of the bedrock, the center-line depth and the observed width define the bedrock topography along the lines placed at 100 m intervals perpendicular to the central line. These values were digitized at 50 m spacing and then interpolated on to a rectangular grid with 2 m cell size as described above. Thickness changes for the 100 m wide bands were then evaluated digitally.

For the 1939 date and for the maximum extent, ice thickness was estimated from the available topographic sheet (Instituto Geográfico Militar, 1970) as the difference in elevation between the center line and the ice margin. Estimates were made at equidistant renter-line points down-glacier from the 1500 m longitudinal position. For the maximum position, the margin is marked by the lateral moraines. Ice thickness and volume for the 100 m wide bands were then evaluated as described above.

4. Changes in Ice Extent and Volume

The broadly southwestward-facing Yanamarey Glacier extends from its steep upper reaches above 5000 m to a terminus now well above 4600 m. Since the early 1970s the ice front has started to calve into a small lake contained behind an arc of moraines and a lock threshold. The glacier is now about 1 km long, with an area of less than 1 km2. An impression of the topography, from the mountain peaks behind to the valley below the glacier, is offered by Figure 3a. A complex of large moraines is taken as marking the “maximum extent” of the glacier, although other large moraine systems are found yet further down the valley as witnesses of earlier glacial events; these, however, will not be of concern here.

From a length of 2800 m at the maximum, the glacier had retreated to 1850 m by 1939, with progressive further shrinkage in length and area during the subsequent intervals (Fig. 2). The changing ice-surface topography is illustrated in Figure 3a. From “maximum” to 1948, and again from 1948 to 1988. the surface lowering exceeded 70 m in the lower part of the glacier. Accompanying the retreat of the glacier tongue from the “maximum” to 1939 was a massive decrease in the width and area (Fig. 2) in the lower part of the glacier (Fig. 3b). After 1948. the glacier was contained in a topographically more constrained domain, and accordingly the drastic thickness changes (Fig. 3a) were accompanied by comparatively moderate decreases in the width and area, primarily in the lower part of the glacier (Fig. 3b).

The longitudinal pattern of changes in area, thickness and volume between the survey dates is depicted ill Figure 4ac. For all three elements the decreases were most drastic near the progressively receding terminus. Thus, from “maximum” to 1939 and thence to 1948 area decreases were largest at longitudinal positions down-glacier from 1300 m, while during the subsequent time intervals the changes were concentrated between 1600 and 1300 m. Decreases in thickness and volume are found lo be largest somewhat further up-glacier, at longitudinal distances of 3000 1500 m during “maximum” to 1948, and at 1300-700 m from 1948 to 1988 (Fig. 4b and c). Paralleling the progressive retreat of the glacier tongue, the largest thickness and volume changes tend to occur further up-glacier in later time intervals. Changes are generally small at longitudinal distances less than 500 m.

Fig. 4. Decreases over the time intervals maximum 1939. 1939 48, 1948-62. 1962-73. 1973-82 and 1982 88. for 100 m wide bands as defined in Figures 2 and 3. Horizontal scale 1: 40000. a. Area. b. ice thickness, c. volume.

Figure 5 presents the secular variations for the glacier as a whole. The ice volume (Fig. 5a) decreased by 35 × 10 m6m3 from “maximum” to 1948; by 22 × 106m3 from 1948 to 1982; and by 7 × 106 m3 from 1982 to 1988. From the information given in section 2, the error tolerances corresponding to these three time intervals are estimated to decrease from 20× 106 to 2× 106 to 0.2 × 10Gm3. From modeling, referred to in section 3 and to be detailed elsewhere in due course, the absolute ice volume of the entire glacier in 1982 is estimated to be 32 × 106 m3, with a tolerance of about 5-10 × 106 m3. The total area (Fig. 5b) is estimated to be 17 × 105m2 for the maximum extent, compared to 8 × 105m6 in 1988. The terminus elevation (Fig. 5c) changed by a large amount from maximum to 1939. but then at a more rapid rate as a steep bedrock threshold was being passed. The length (Fig. 5d) also decreased substantially from the maximum to the 1988 conditions.

Fig. 5. Secular variation of Yanamarey Glacier, a. volume, measured relative to 1982 volume, which is estimated to be 32 × 106 m3. b. area. c. terminus elevation, d. length.

5. Concluding Remarks

As indicators of climatic change, variations of tropical glaciers arc relevant in the global context. In this spirit, changes in the length and area of glaciers worldwide are now being regularly compiled and published in an international effort (Hacberli and Hoclzlc, 1993). Although assessment of mass changes is needed for the study of the energy processes involved, even information on length and area changes is useful. Thus, assuming a priori an increase of air temperature as the sole cause of glacier retreat, Oerlemans (1994) used this data source to compute a corresponding atmospheric-warming rate. In a similar vein, Thompson and others (1993) interpreted ice-core records in terms of temperature change without consideration of ice-mass and energy processes. That forcings other than atmospheric warming may be instrumental is shown by numerical modeling of the ice dynamics, heat-budget sensitivity studies and diagnostics of secular circulation changes for the glaciers of East Africa (Kruss, 1984; Hastenrath and Kruss, 1992; Hastenrath. 1994).

With this motivation, Yanamarey Glacier was a target of opportunity for the assessment of volume change over much of this century. This is important because only changes in mass can properly be converted into energy equivalents in phase-change processes. Such information is rare especially for the tropical half of the Earth. The quantitative reconstruction of ice-mass changes presented here for Yanamarey Glacier serves as a basis for ongoing sensitivity analyses aimed at inferring the climatic forcing of the observed glacier shrinkage.

Acknowledgements

This study was supported by U.S. National Science Foundation grant No. EAR-9217211. At the University of Wisconsin, J. Scherz performed the stereo-compilation from the 1962 and 1948 air photography, and L. Greischar and D. Polzin assisted with the data processing and graphics. Comments by R. Hooke, L. Thompson and an anonymous reviewer on an earlier version of this paper are gratefully acknowledged.

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