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Dynamic programming to investigate financial impacts of mastitis control decisions in milk production systems

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2001

CENGIZ YALCIN
Affiliation:
Department of Livestock Economics, Ankara University Veterinary Faculty, Dıskapı-Ankara 06110, Turkey
ALISTAIR W. STOTT
Affiliation:
SAC, Animal Health Economics Group, Management Division, Craibstone Estate, Aberdeen AB21 9YA, UK

Abstract

An adaptive stochastic dynamic programming model was used to solve the optimum replacement decision problem for the dairy cow under a range of alternative mastitis control procedures. The model predicted that reducing milk yield losses and somatic cell count penalties by using milking machine test, post-milking teat disinfection and dry cow therapy added approximately £4, £10 and £13 respectively to an original annuity equivalent net present value for the replacement heifer of £286. Assuming that these procedures also reduced involuntary culling due to mastitis by 50% added £8·90 to the annuity. This latter figure indicated that an important part of the benefit of mastitis control procedures might come from a reduction in the culling risk of persistent clinical cases. We concluded that the strength of the dynamic programming model in this context was that it provided an integrated evaluation of the various impacts of each alternative mastitis procedure in the long term, which is essential for correct economic evaluation of mastitis.

Type
Original article
Copyright
Proprietors of Journal of Dairy Research 2000

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