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International Role in State-Making in Ukraine: The Promise of a Two-Stage Constituent Process

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 March 2019

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The conflict in the Ukraine—barely placated by a fragile truce that temporarily froze its territorial fault lines—remains one of the gravest threats to both regional and international peace since the end of the Cold War. The present de facto territorial arrangements in Ukraine remain highly unstable—as well as entirely unacceptable—to at least one of the parties to the conflict. With the fate of the second Minsk Agreement in question, neither the parties involved in the conflict nor the powers that support them have been able to propose mutually-acceptable, comprehensive solutions that would significantly diminish the danger of a renewed violent confrontation. In such a situation, the wider international community could play a helpful role in achieving a lasting political settlement.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © 2015 by German Law Journal GbR 

References

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31 U.N. Charter art. 39.Google Scholar

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36 Oklopcic, too, uses the idea of “early” against “late” intervention that has the advantage of applicability to one stage processes, or those where the distinction among stages is less than clear cut. But he seems to be less demanding in terms of the restriction of the power to only certain topics. See generally, Zoran Oklopcic, Introduction: The Crisis in Ukraine Between Law, Power, and Principle, 16 German l.j. 350 (2015); Oklopcic, supra note 4.Google Scholar

36 Here, another aspect of intervention comes into play—recognition. States can intervene in the negative—at least during state creation —by refraining from recognizing the existence of the putative state until certain concopditions are met. This is a legal and normal part of the state formation process.Google Scholar

38 See, for example, the so-called Copenhagen Criteria, Presidency Conclusions, Copenhagen European Council (Jun. 21–22, 1993), http://www.europarl.europa.eu/enlargement/ec/pdf/cop_en.pdf (last visited Jun. 5, 2015). See also Statute of the Council of Europe, May 5, 1949, 1949 O.J. art. 3.Google Scholar

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40 Elden, Stuart, Territorial Integrity and the War on Terror, 37 Environment and Planning A 2083, 2084 passim (2005).Google Scholar

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44 In terms of other criteria argued here, there was also no limitation of the intervention to procedure, beyond the question of rights, and it was mainly unilateral under a very vague enabling SC Resolution (1483).Google Scholar

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51 Influencing electoral rules for the making of the final constitutions seems to be a legitimate area of external role. Indeed the fairest constituent assembly electoral rule is, other things equal, a highly proportional rule such as a single district rule with no thresholds. Under Iraqi conditions of civil war in Sunni areas such a rule was however disastrous. International inputs can be just as mistaken as domestic choices. Arato, supra note 29, at 208–210.Google Scholar

53 The selection of local participants should not rely on the formalistic understanding of domestic constitutional order. As Jennifer Widner argued, “Informal practices [in the process of constitution-making] may help promote a ‘long view’ too.” Jennifer Widner, Constitution Writing in Post-conflict Settings: An Overview, 49 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 1513, 1518 (2008). For the importance of local political knowledge in endangering political order and stability, see generally Nehal Bhuta, New Modes and Orders: The Difficulties of a Jus Post Bellum of Constitutional Transformation, 60 U. Toronto L. J. 799 (2010).Google Scholar

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69 The elective affinity of wide inclusion with constitutionalism has been demonstrated by Tom Ginsburg with his insurance model. See generally, Tom Ginsburg, Judicial Review in New Democracies: Constitutional Courts in Asian Cases (2003).Google Scholar

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61 According to the article 47 of the Fourth Geneva Convention (1949), “Protected persons who are in occupied territory shall not be deprived, in any case or in any manner whatsoever, of the benefits of the present Convention … by any agreement concluded between the authorities of the occupied territories and the Occupying Power, nor by any annexation by the latter of the whole or part of the occupied territory”. According to the UN General Assembly Resolution 2625 (XXV) (24 October 1970) (also known as the Declaration on Friendly Relations), “territory of a state shall not be the object of acquisition by another state resulting from the threat or use of force”.Google Scholar

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66 Sasse, Gwendolin & Hughes, James, Building a federal Ukraine?, Washington Post, Mar. 19, 2014. For an argument in favor of federalism in Ukraine, see Post, Kyiv, http://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/op-ed/ukraine-should-consider-federalism-11141.html. For an argument against federalism, claiming that a confederation would be a superior constitutional form for Ukraine, see Insider, Russian, http://russia-insider.com/en/2015/02/04/3133.Google Scholar