Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-5g6vh Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-25T20:53:07.670Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The joint production of confidence: lessons from nineteenth-century US commercial banks for twenty-first-century Euro area governments1

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 October 2011

Adalbert Winkler
Affiliation:
Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, a.winkler@fs.de

Abstract

This article argues that the crisis in euro area government bond markets reflects the same kind of stability challenges financial intermediaries face when confronted with a negative macroeconomic shock without having access to a lender of last resort. Nineteenth-century US banks operated under such a framework and used clearing houses in times of crisis as a co-insurance mechanism against contagious runs. Their experience provides valuable lessons for the ongoing reform efforts in the euro area. The analysis reveals that most of the instruments clearing houses used in the joint production of confidence are similar to the ones euro area governments have recently decided upon, such as the establishment of the European Financial Stability Facility. This suggests that the euro area crisis response has followed best private-sector practices of crisis management. However, inherent fragilities of co-insurance mechanisms as well as the long maturity and elusive quality of government debt present a challenge in designing a sustainable solution to the crisis without compromising on the original goal of euro area governance: ensuring sound fiscal policies as a prerequisite for maintaining price stability. To meet this challenge a substantially more comprehensive economic and political union might be needed.

Type
The past mirror: notes, surveys, debates
Copyright
Copyright © European Association for Banking and Financial History e.V. 2011

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Arestis, P. and Sawyer, M. (2001). Will the euro bring economic cisis to Europe? Levy Economics Institute, Working Paper no. 322.Google Scholar
Arnold, I. and Lemmen, J. (2001). The vulnerability of banks to government default risk in the EMU. International Finance, 4, pp. 101–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Artis, M. J. and Winkler, B. (1997). The stability pact: safeguarding the credibility of the European Central Bank. CEPR Discussion Papers, London.Google Scholar
Bagehot, W. (1873). Lombard Street - A Description of Money Market. Homewood, IL, and London: Henry S. King and Co.Google Scholar
Barro, R. J. (1974). Are government bonds net wealth? The Journal of Political Economy, 82, pp. 10951117.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bhattacharya, S. and Thakor, A. V. (1993). Contemporary banking theory. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 3, pp. 250.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bini Smaghi, L. (2010a). What has the financial crisis taught us? The global dimension and international policy cooperation. Speech at the Twenty-first Century Forum 2010, Beijing, 6–8 September 2010, www.ecb.int.Google Scholar
Bini Smaghi, L. (2010b). Europe cannot default its way back to health. Financial Times, 16 December.Google Scholar
Bini Smaghi, L. (2011). Sovereign risk and the euro. Presentation at the London Business School, 9 February, www.ecb.int.Google Scholar
Boonstra, W. (2005). Proposals for a better stability pact. Intereconomics, January/February, pp. 49.Google Scholar
Calomiris, C. W. (1993). Regulation, industrial structure, and instability in US banking: an historical perspective. In Klausner, M. and White, L. J. (eds.), Structural Change in Banking. Homewood, IL: New York University Salomon Center, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Irwin Publishing, pp. 19116,Google Scholar
Calomiris, C. W. (1995). The costs of rejecting universal banking. In Lamoreaux, N. R. and Raff, D. M. G. (eds.), Coordination and Information – Historical Perspectives on the Organization of Enterprise. Chicago and London: University of Chicago Press, pp. 257315.Google Scholar
Calomiris, C. W. (2008). The subprime turmoil: what's old, what's new, and what's next. In Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, Maintaining Stability in a Changing Financial System, conference proceedings.Google Scholar
Calomiris, C. W. and Gorton, G. (1991). The origins of banking panics, In Hubbard, R. G. (ed.), Financial Markets and Financial Crises. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, pp. 109–73.Google Scholar
Calomiris, C. W. and Kahn, C. M. (1991). The role of demandable debt in structuring optimal banking arrangements. The American Economic Review, 81, pp. 497513.Google Scholar
Calomiris, C. W. and Schweikart, L. (1991). The panic of 1857: origins, transmission, and containment. Journal of Economic History, 51, pp. 807–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Calvo, G. A. and Guidotti, P. E. (1992). Optimal maturity of nominal government debt: an infinite-horizon model. International Economic Review, 33(4), pp. 895919.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cannon, J. G. (1910). Clearing Houses. National Monetary Commission. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
Cole, H. L. and Kehoe, T. J. (1996). A self-fulfilling model of Mexico's 1994–1995 debt crisis. Journal of International Economics, 41, pp. 309–30.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Corsetti, G., Guimaraes, B. and Roubini, N. (2006). International lending of last resort and moral hazard: a model of IMF's catalytic finance. Journal of Monetary Economics, 53, pp. 441–71.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Council of the European Union (2010). Press release, Extraordinary Council meeting, Economic and Financial Affairs, Brussels, 9/10 May 2010.Google Scholar
Delpla, J. and von Weizsäcker, J. (2011). Eurobonds: the blue bond concept and its implications. Bruegel Policy Contribution, issue 2011/02, March. www.bruegel.org.Google Scholar
Deutsche Bundesbank (1990). Statement by the Deutsche Bundesbank on the establishment of an Economic and Monetary Union in Europe, Monthly Report of the Deutsche Bundesbank, October 1990, pp. 40–4.Google Scholar
Deutsche Bundesbank (2011a). Overview. Monthly Bulletin, February, pp. 611.Google Scholar
Deutsche Bundesbank (2011b). European Council decisions on the prevention and resolution of future sovereign debt crises. Monthly Bulletin, April 2011, pp. 5358.Google Scholar
Diamond, D. W. (1984). Financial intermediation as delegated monitoring. Review of Economic Studies, 51, pp. 393414.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Diamond, D. W. and Dybvig, P. H. (1983). Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity. Journal of Political Economy, 91, pp. 401–19.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Domar, E. D. (1944). The ‘burden of debt’ and the national income. The American Economic Review, 34, pp. 798827.Google Scholar
Dowd, K. (1994). Competitive banking, bankerś clubs and bank regulation. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 26, pp. 289308.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dowd, K. (1996). The case for financial laissez-faire. Economic Journal, 106, pp. 679–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
ECB (2010a). Transcript of the questions asked and the answers given by Jean-Claude Trichet, President of the ECB, and Lucas Papademos, Vice-President of the ECB, Lisbon, 6 May, www.ecb.int/press/pressconf/2010/html/is100506.en.html#qa.Google Scholar
ECB (2010b). Press release, 10 May 2010 – ECB decides on measures to address severe tensions in financial markets, www.ecb.int/press/pr/date/2010/html/pr100510.en.html.Google Scholar
Eichengreen, B. (2007). The breakup of the euro area. NBER Working Paper no. 13393. Cambridge, MA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eichengreen, B. and Hausmann, R. (1999). Exchange rates and financial fragility. In Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, New Challenges for Monetary Policy, conference proceedings, pp. 329–68.Google Scholar
Eichengreen, B. and Temin, P. (2010). Fetters of gold and paper. NBER Working Paper no. 16202. Cambridge, MA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eijffinger, S. C. W. (2011). Eurobonds – concepts and implications, Directorate General of Internal Policies, Economic and Monetary Affairs, www.sylvestereijffinger.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/EP%20Briefing%20Paper%20March%202011.pdf.Google Scholar
Emerson, M., Gros, D. and Italiener, A. (1992). One Market, One Money: An Evaluation of the Potential Benefits and Costs of Forming an Economic and Monetary Union. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
EU business (2010). ECB risks becoming ‘bad bank’ with bond purchases: economist. 18 May, www.eubusiness.com/news-eu/ecb-eurozone-bank.4rp/, accessed 12 February 2011.Google Scholar
Eurogroup (2010). Statement by the Eurogroup, 28 November, www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cms_data/docs/pressdata/en/ecofin/118050.pdf, accessed 27 January 2011.Google Scholar
European Financial Stability Facility (2011). Frequently Asked Questions, www.efsf.europa.eu/attachments/faq_en.pdf.Google Scholar
Fahrholz, C. and Wójcik, C. (2010). The bail-out! Positive political economies of Greek-type crises in the EMU. CESifo Working paper No. 3178. Munich.Google Scholar
Folkerts-Landau, D. and Garber, P. M. (1992). The European Central Bank: a bank or a monetary policy rule? NBER Working Paper No. 4016. Cambridge, MA.Google Scholar
Friedman, B. (1990). Implications of increasing corporate indebtedness for monetary policy. Group of Thirty, Occasional Paper No. 29. New York and London.Google Scholar
Franz, W., Fuest, C., Hellwig, M. and Sinn, H.-W. (2010). A euro rescue plan. CESifo Forum 2/2010, pp. 101–4.Google Scholar
Gianviti, F., Krueger, A. O., Pisani-Ferry, J., Sapir, A. and von Hagen, J. (2010). A European mechanism for sovereign debt crisis resolution: a proposal, 9 November, www.bruegel.org.Google Scholar
Giavazzi, F. and Pagano, M. (1990). Confidence crises and public debt management. In Dornbusch, R. and Draghi, M. (eds.), Public Debt Management: Theory and History. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 125–43.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goodfriend, M. (1991). Money, credit, banking, and payment system policy. Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, pp. 723Google Scholar
Goodhart, C. A. E. (1988). The Evolution of Central Banks. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Goodhart, C. A. E. (1998). The two concepts of money: implications for the analysis of optimal currency areas. European Journal of Political Economy, 14, pp. 407–32.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goodhart, C. A. E. (1999). Myths about the LOLR. International Finance, 2, pp. 339–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gorton, G. (2007). Banks, banking, and crises. NBER Reporter: Research Summary 2007, no. 4.Google Scholar
Gorton, G. (2008). The panic of 2007. NBER Working Paper no. 14358. Cambridge, MA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gorton, G. and Mullineaux, D. J. (1987). The joint production of confidence: endogenous regulation and nineteenth century commercial-bank clearinghouses, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 19 (4), pp. 457–68.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Greenbaum, S. I. and Thakor, A. V. (2007). Contemporary Financial Intermediation. 2nd edition. Fort Worth: Dryden Press.Google Scholar
Greenspan, A. (1997). The evolution of banking in market economy. Remarks at the annual conference of the Association of Private Enterprise Education. BIS Review 44/1997, Basle.Google Scholar
Gros, D. (2010). The seniority conundrum: bail out countries but bail in private, short-term creditors? www.voxeu.org.Google Scholar
International Monetary Fund (2010). Fiscal monitor, November 2010, Washington, DC.Google Scholar
International Monetary Fund (2011). Global financial stability still at risk. Global Financial Stability Report, GFSR Market Update, www.imf.org.Google Scholar
Issing, O. (2010a). Die Europäische Währungsunion am Scheideweg [The European Monetary Union at the crossroads]. Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 20 February.Google Scholar
Issing, O. (2010b). A Greek bail-out would be a disaster for Europe. Financial Times, 16 February.Google Scholar
Issing, O. (2010c). Gefahr für die Stabilität [Risks for stability], Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 11 November.Google Scholar
Issing, O. (2010d). Die Mär von der Spekulation [The fairy tale of speculation], Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 27 May.Google Scholar
Juncker, J.-C. and Tremonti, G. (2010). E-bonds would end the crisis. Financial Times, 5 December.Google Scholar
Kaminsky, G. L., Lizondo, S. and Reinhart, C. M. (1998). Leading indicators of currency crises. IMF Staff Papers, 45, pp. 148.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kroszner, R. S. (2000). Lessons from financial crises: the role of clearinghouses. Journal of Financial Services Research, 18, pp. 157–71.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krugman, P. (2011). Can Europe be saved? The New York Times, 12 January.Google Scholar
Levine, R. (1997). Financial development and economic growth – views and agenda. Journal of Economic Literature, 35, pp. 688726.Google Scholar
Moen, J. R. and Tallman, E. W. (2000). Clearinghouse membership and deposit contraction during the panic of 1907. Journal of Economic History, 60, pp. 145–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Norman, B., Shaw, R. and Speight, G. (2011). The history of interbank settlement arrangements: exploring central banks' role in the payment system. Bank of England Working Paper no. 412, June, London.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oakley, D. (2011). European rescue fund pits default at top of agenda. Financial Times, 23 March, p. 27.Google Scholar
Obstfeld, M. (1994). The logic of currency crises. NBER Working Papers 4640, Cambridge, MA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ostry, J. D., Gosh, A. R., Kim, J. I. and Qureshi, M. S. (2010). Fiscal space. IMF Staff Position Note, 10/11. Washington, C.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pisani-Ferry, J. (2010). Euro-area governance: what went wrong? How to repair it? Bruegel Policy Contribution, issue 2010/05, www.bruegel.org.Google Scholar
Proissl, W. (2010). Why Germany fell out of love with Europe. Bruegel Essay, Brussels, www.bruegel.org.Google Scholar
Regling, K. (2010a). Der Bund verdient eine gute Marge [Germany gets a good margin]. Interview, Frankfurter Rundschau, 22 October.Google Scholar
Regling, K. (2010b). Die Lage ist etwas schwieriger als noch vor drei Monaten [The situation is somewhat more difficult than three months ago]. Interview, Börsen-Zeitung, 31 December.Google Scholar
Reinhart, C. M. and Rogoff, K. S. (2009). This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Reinhart, C., Rogoff, K. S. and Savastano, M. A. (2003). Debt intolerance. NBER Working Paper no. 9908. Cambridge, MA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Roberds, W. (1995). Financial crises and the payments system: lessons from the national banking era. Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, 80, pp. 1531.Google Scholar
Rochet, J. C. and Vives, X. (2004). Coordination failures and the lender of last resort: was Bagehot right after all? Journal of the European Economic Association, 2, pp. 1116–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rodrik, D. and Velasco, A. (1999). Short-term capital flows. NBER Working Paper no. 7364. Cambridge, MA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stella, P. (2010). Minimising monetary policy. BIS Working Paper no. 330. Basel.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tabellini, G. (2010). Fighting the Eurozone's infectious disease. www.voxeu.org.Google Scholar
Tallman, E and Moen, J. R. (2010). Liquidity creation without a lender of last resort: clearing house loan certificates in the banking panic of 1907. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Working Paper 10/10, www.clevelanfed.org/research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tilly, R. H. (2008). Banking crises in comparative and historical perspective: the nineteenth century. Banking and Finance in Historical Perspective, 34, pp. 117.Google Scholar
Timberlake, R. H. (1984). The central banking role of clearinghouse associations. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 16, pp. 115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Trichet, J.-C. (2010). Wir erleben dramatische Zeiten [These are turbulent times]. Der Spiegel, 17 May, www.ecb.int.Google Scholar
Trichet, J.-C. (2011). Interview. Wall Street Journal, 19 January 2011, www.ecb.int.Google Scholar
Weber, A. (2010). Kaufprogramm birgt erhebliche Risiken [Securities Market Programme carries substantial risks]. Interview. Börsen-Zeitung, 11 May.Google Scholar
Wyplosz, C. (2009). Bailouts: the next step up? www.voxeu.org.Google Scholar
Wyplosz, C. (2010a). The Eurozone slides into a vicious cycle, www.voxeu.org.Google Scholar
Wyplosz, C. (2010b). The European debt crisis: worrisome delusions, www.voxeu.org.Google Scholar