Hostname: page-component-5c6d5d7d68-ckgrl Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-08-15T20:00:35.542Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Assessment of Target Capital for General Insurance Firms

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 June 2011

A. N. Hitchcox
Affiliation:
Kiln plc, 106 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 5NR, U.K. Tel: +44(0)20-7360-1629; Fax: +44(0)20-7488-1848; Email: Andrew.Hitchcox@Kilnplc.com

Abstract

Capital and cost of capital form a bridge between the insurance firm and the financial markets. The term capital is used in various ways. In current parlance, economic capital is frequently used to mean capital calculated using a risk-based measure which is independent of the regulatory requirements. In this paper we discuss the concept of target capital, where the firm takes account of three different approaches to risk appetite: regulatory capital plus a buffer; rating agency views; and the views of shareholders, where they make commitments to customers and wish to protect franchise value. We describe how, when blending these views, the firm needs to understand the trade-offs between too high and too low amounts of capital, with reference to the double taxation burden, insurance gearing (leverage of premiums to capital ratio), and the impact of the firm's credit rating on maximising franchise value. We then discuss the main drivers of the cost of capital, which we define as the required total return on the market value of the firm, as determined by reference to the opportunity cost of alternative investments of equivalent risk. We explain that, because the stock market value of the firm is not the same as the capital held inside the firm, the cost of capital derived from external studies cannot be directly applied to internal measures of target return such as return on equity (ROE); it is necessary to translate between the two measures. We separate the risk of the firm between the investment risk and the insurance risk. We describe the frictional costs of investing in an insurance firm, and explain the role of parameter and model risk arising from the uncertainty of the future claim costs of the firm. We describe the findings of two studies of the actual historical stock market returns of United States P&C companies. One of them suggests that applying the Fama-French model produces higher and more accurate cost of capital estimates than the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) method. This is explained by linking the price to book ratio to the costs of financial distress, which are particularly important for general insurance firms, given the influence of insurance strength ratings from the rating agencies. Finally, we attempt to estimate the risk load required in premiums to compensate investors for the elements of cost of capital which we have described, in a way that combines the financial economic approaches to insurance target returns with the traditional actuarial approaches to assessing the risks in the insurance business.

Type
Sessional meetings: papers and abstracts of discussions
Copyright
Copyright © Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2007

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Artzner, P., Delbaen, F., Eber, J.M. & Heath, D. (1999). Coherent measures of risk. Mathematical Finance, 9 (November), 203228. http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1467-9965.00068?cookieSet=1&journalCode= mafiCrossRefGoogle Scholar
CEIOPS (2006). Quantitative impact study 2 — technical specification. http://www.ceiops.org/media/files/consultations/QIS/QIS2/QIS2TechnicalSpecification.pdfGoogle Scholar
Coleman, L. (2005). Enterprise risk strategy: managing business risks with modern finance techniques. Economics & Finance Seminars, La Trobe University. http://www.latrobe.edu.au/business/assets/downloads/seminars/2005/Coleman.pdfGoogle Scholar
Cochrane, J.H. (1999). New facts in finance. Economic Perspectives, XXIII (3) (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago). http://faculty.chicagogsb.edu/john.cochrane/research/Papers/ep3Q99_3.pdfGoogle Scholar
Cummins, J.D. & Lamm-Tennant, J. (1994). Capital structure and the cost of equity capital in property-liability insurance, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 15, 187201. http://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/insuma/v15y1994i2-3p187-201.htmlGoogle Scholar
Cummins, J.D. & Phillips, R.D. (2005). Estimating the cost of equity capital for property-liability insurers. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 72(3), 441478. An earlier version of this paper is available at the CAS Winter Forum 2004. http://www.casact.org/pubs/forum/04wforum/04wf327.pdfCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cummins, J.D., Phillips, R.D., Butsic, R.P. & Derrig, R.A. (2000). The risk premium project. Phase I and II report. Casualty Actuarial Society. http://www.casact.org/pubs/forum/00fforum/00ff165.pdfGoogle Scholar
Derrig, R. (1983). The use of investment income in Massachusetts private passenger automobile and workers compensation ratemaking. Reprinted in Cummins J.D. & Harrington, ‘Fair rate of return in property-liability insurance’, 1987, 119145.Google Scholar
Exley, C.J. & Smith, A.D. (2006). The cost of capital for financial firms. British Actuarial Journal, 12, 229301. http://www.actuaries.org.uk/files/pdf/sessional/sm20060123.pdfCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Feldblum, S. (2006). Fair value accounting for property-casualty insurance liabilities. CAS 2006 discussion paper program. http://www.casact.org/pubs/dpp/dpp06Google Scholar
Fitch Ratings (2006). Mohrenweiser, J., Murray, A., Patrino, P., Exposure draft: Prism — insurance ratings and calibration measures — tail VaR and VaR. Fitch ratings. http://www.fitchratings.com/corporate/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=282264Google Scholar
Hancock, J., Huber, P. & Koch, P. (2001). The economics of insurance — how insurers create value for shareholders. Swiss Re Technical Publishing. http://www.swissre.com/INTERNET/pwsfilpr.nsf/vwFilebyIDKEYLu/BBER-5B4K5E/SFILE/The_economics_of-insurance_en.pdfGoogle Scholar
Smith, A.D. (2006). What can markets tell about rare events? 4th Enterprise Risk Management Symposium. http://www.ermsymposium.org/pdf/handouts/KN/Tuesday%20Keynote%20Lunch_Smith.pdfGoogle Scholar
Standard & Poor's (2006). Annual 2005 corporate default study and rating transitions, Standard & Poor's. http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/fixedincome/AnnualDefaultStudy_2005.pdfGoogle Scholar
Swiss Re sigma No3/2005. Insurers' cost of capital and economic value creation. Swiss Re Technical Publishing. http://www.swissre.com/INTERNET/pwsfilpr.nsf/vwFilebyIDKEYLu/MPDL-6FR9MH/SFILE/sigma3_2005_e.pdfGoogle Scholar