Skip to main content Accessibility help

Bayesian animals sense ecological constraints to predict fitness and organize individually flexible reproductive decisions

  • Patricia Adair Gowaty (a1) and Stephen P. Hubbell (a1)


A quantitative theory of reproductive decisions (Gowaty & Hubbell 2009) says that individuals use updated priors from constantly changing demographic circumstances to predict their futures to adjust actions flexibly and adaptively. Our ecological/evolutionary models of ultimate causes seem consistent with Clark's ideas and thus suggest an opportunity for a unified proximate and ultimate theory of Bayesian animal brains, senses, and actions.



Hide All
Darwin, C. (1871) The descent of man and selection in relation to sex. John Murray.
Gowaty, P. A. & Hubbell, S. P. (2009) Reproductive decisions under ecological constraints: It's about time. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 106:10017–24.
Gowaty, P. A. & Hubbell, S. P. (2005) Chance, time allocation, and the evolution of adaptively flexible sex role behavior. Integrative and Comparative Biology 45(5):931–44.
Hubbell, S. P. & Johnson, L. K. (1987) Environmental variance in lifetime mating success, mate choice, and sexual selection. American Naturalist 130(1):91112.


Altmetric attention score

Full text views

Total number of HTML views: 0
Total number of PDF views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

Abstract views

Total abstract views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

* Views captured on Cambridge Core between <date>. This data will be updated every 24 hours.

Usage data cannot currently be displayed