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Implications of natural sampling in base-rate tasks
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 29 October 2007
Abstract
The hypothesis that structural properties and not frequencies per se improve base-rate sensitivity is supported from the perspective of natural sampling. Natural sampling uses a special frequency format that makes base-rates redundant. Unfortunately, however, it does not allow us to empirically investigate human understanding of essential properties of uncertainty – most importantly, the understanding of conditional probabilities in Bayes' Theorem.
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- Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2007
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