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Modeling War and Peace

  • Seif M. Hussein (a1) (a2), Bruce Bueno de Mesquita (a1) (a2) and David Lalman (a3)

Abstract

The appropriate model of international conflict and war has been much discussed in recent years, and considerable progress has been made in modeling. Nevertheless the assumptions, conditions, and specifications for international conflict models remain eminently debatable. In the December 1986 issue of this Review, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and David Lalman presented a generalized expected utility model of international conflict. Here Seif Hussein takes issue with their model in various particulars, aiming to perfect and strengthen the model. Bueno de Mesquita and Lalman respond.

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Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. 1981a. Risk, Power Distributions, and the Likelihood of War. International Studies Quarterly 25:541568.
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. 1981b. The War Trap. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, and Lalman, David. 1986. Reason and War. American Political Science Review 80:1131129.
Hussein, Seif. 1986. Crisis Analysis: A Formal Approach. Paper prepared for delivery at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Anaheim, California, March 25–30.
Lalman, David. 1985. Conflict Resolution and Peace. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New Orleans, LA.

Modeling War and Peace

  • Seif M. Hussein (a1) (a2), Bruce Bueno de Mesquita (a1) (a2) and David Lalman (a3)

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