Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-dnltx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-24T12:15:38.978Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

20 - Simple mechanisms for anomalous price statistics

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 July 2010

Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
Affiliation:
Commissariat à l'Energie Atomique (CEA), Saclay
Marc Potters
Affiliation:
Capital Fund Management
Get access

Summary

In the future, all models will be right, but each one only for 15 minutes.

(E. Derman, after Andy Warhol, Quantitative Finance (2001).)

Introduction

Physicists like using power-laws to fit data. The reason for this is that complex, collective phenomenon often give rise to power-laws which are furthermore universal, that is to a large degree independent of the microscopic details of the phenomenon. These power-laws emerge from collective action and transcend individual specificities. As such, they are unforgeable signatures of a collective mechanism. Examples in the physics literature are numerous. A well-known example is that of phase transitions, where a system evolves from a disordered state to an ordered state: many observables behave as universal power laws in the vicinity of the transition point (see e.g. Goldenfeld (1992)). This is related to an important property of power-laws, namely ‘scale invariance’: the characteristic length scale of a physical system at its critical point is infinite, leading to self-similar, scale-free fluctuations. Similarly, power-law distributions are scale invariant in the sense that the relative probability to observe an event of a given size s0 and an event ten times larger is independent of the reference scale s0. Another interesting example is fluid turbulence, where the statistics of the velocity field has scale invariant properties, to a large extent independent of the geometry, the nature of the fluid, of the power injected, etc. (see Frisch (1997)).

Type
Chapter
Information
Theory of Financial Risk and Derivative Pricing
From Statistical Physics to Risk Management
, pp. 355 - 371
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2003

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×