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10 - Operational forecasting

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

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Summary

Introduction

An atmospheric numerical prediction model is the main component in a much larger whole termed a numerical prediction suite, which comprises all of the processes implemented for making operational weather forecasts. Among these processes we distinguish the acquisition of meteorological data, the objective analysis (and more generally the observation data assimilation), the forecasting process using one or more atmospheric models, the determination of weather parameters at local scale, and lastly the display of all the available information.

In order to grasp the behaviour of a prediction model, we need to deploy a set of verification methods that allow us to compare predictions with the real situation. There are a good number of quality indices that provide statistical information on the model’s behaviour. It is essential to verify models so as to monitor their imperfections and try to rectify them.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2011

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  • Operational forecasting
  • Jean Coiffier
  • Book: Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511734458.014
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  • Operational forecasting
  • Jean Coiffier
  • Book: Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511734458.014
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Operational forecasting
  • Jean Coiffier
  • Book: Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511734458.014
Available formats
×