Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-r6qrq Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-25T10:48:40.945Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

14 - THE EFFECTS OF STATISTICAL TRAINING ON THINKING ABOUT EVERYDAY PROBLEMS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 March 2011

Get access

Summary

Do people solve inferential problems in everyday life by using abstract inferential rules or do they use only rules specific to the problem domain? The view that people possess abstract inferential rules and use them to solve even the most mundane problems can be traced back to Aristotle. In modern psychology, this view is associated with the theories of Piaget and Simon. They hold that, over the course of cognitive development, people acquire general and abstract rules and schemas for solving problems. For example, people acquire rules that correspond to the laws of formal logic and the formal rules of probability theory. Problems are solved by decomposing their features and relations into elements that are coded in such a way that they can make contact with these abstract rules.

This formalist view has been buffeted by findings showing that people violate the laws of formal logic and the rules of statistics. People make serious logical errors when reasoning about arbitrary symbols and relations (for a review, see Evans, 1982). The best known line of research is that initiated by Wason (1966) on his selection task. In that task, subjects are told that they will be shown cards having a letter on the front and a number on the back. They are then presented with cards having an A,a B,a 4, and a 7 and asked which they would have to turn over in order to verify the rule, “If a card has an A on one side, then it has a 4 on the other.”

Type
Chapter
Information
Decision Making
Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Interactions
, pp. 299 - 340
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1988

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×