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Chapter 10 - Negishi Welfare Weights in Integrated Assessment Models: The Mathematics of Global Inequality

from Part III - Theory and Methods of Integrated Assessment

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 November 2017

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Summary

In a global climate policy debate fraught with differing understandings of right and wrong, the importance of making transparent the ethical assumptions used in climate economics models cannot be overestimated. Negishi weighting is a key ethical assumption in climate economics models, but it is virtually unknown to most model users. Negishi weights freeze the current distribution of income between world regions; without this constraint, IAMs that maximize global welfare would recommend an equalization of income across regions as part of their policy advice. With Negishi weights in place, these models instead recommend a course of action that would be optimal only in a world in which global income redistribution cannot and will not take place. This chapter describes the Negishi procedure and its origin in theoretical and applied welfare economics, and discusses the policy implications of the presentation and use of Negishi-weighted model results, as well as some alternatives to Negishi weighting in climate economics models.

Introduction

Climate change and global income inequality are intimately and inextricably interrelated. Regional income per capita is well correlated with past and present greenhouse gas emissions. Damages from climate change are expected to be far worse in developing countries, many of which have special geographic vulnerabilities (such as tropical climates or low-lying islands) and most of which can ill afford the adaptation measures necessary to fend off climate impacts. International climate negotiations hinge on finding a compromise between philosophical differences of developed and developing countries on the meaning of equity: what determines each country's responsibility in reducing emissions? What determines each country's responsibility in paying for emissions reductions and adaptation measures at home and abroad?

Climate economics models play an important role in this policy debate by quantifying the value of climate damages and abatement costs under various mitigation scenarios. Many of these integrated assessment models (IAMs) offer policy advice in the form of an optimal scenario: a recommended course of action telling us how much emissions should be abated in what time periods to achieve the greatest human wellbeing across the centuries. In a policy debate fraught with differing understandings of right and wrong, the importance of making transparent the ethical assumptions used in these models cannot be overestimated.

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Publisher: Anthem Press
Print publication year: 2014

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