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Discussion

from Part Two - Theoretical Contributions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 February 2010

Pierre-Richard Agénor
Affiliation:
The World Bank
Marcus Miller
Affiliation:
University of Warwick
David Vines
Affiliation:
University of Oxford
Axel Weber
Affiliation:
Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt
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Summary

In their chapter 6, Agénor and Aizenmann develop a theoretical model of the effects of opening up the financial markets of a country. They explore the effects on the returns of domestic firms, banks and savers, and explore the amount of investment undertaken and the effects on welfare. The chapter begins with a model in which the domestic economy can provide a fixed supply of saving at a constant reservation price, which meets a fixed domestic demand for funds, well below domestic saving. This is the central case which occupies most of the exposition and provides most of the chapter's insights. The chapter goes on to consider two extensions. One allows for an upward-sloping supply curve of funds and heterogeneity of projects in terms of their expected returns, and the other allows additionally for congestion externalities. These two cases allow the opening up of financial markets to affect the amount of investment that takes place in the economy. Congestion externalities increase the likelihood that internationalisation will lead to excessive investment which reduces welfare.

The analysis assumes that there is asymmetric information between banks and the firms to which they lend, in that the firms alone discover costlessly the returns on their investments, which are random variables. While the banks can also discover the returns to investment projects, monitoring is costly, and is carried out only when firms default on loans. However, although asymmetric information and costly monitoring are assumed, there is no room for moral hazard or adverse selection in the model.

Type
Chapter
Information
The Asian Financial Crisis
Causes, Contagion and Consequences
, pp. 225 - 229
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1999

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