Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- Acknowledgements
- Introduction: Estimative Intelligence and Anticipatory Foreign Policy
- 1 Expectations from Estimative Intelligence and Anticipatory Foreign Policy: A Realistic Appraisal
- 2 Surprise, Revisited: An EU Performance Evaluation of the Arab Uprisings
- 3 How Germany and the UK Anticipated ISIS’s Rise to Power in Syria and Iraq
- 4 The Case of the Ukraine—Russia Undeclared War 2013/2014: Lessons for the EU’s Estimative Intelligence
- 5 The Case of the UK: Intelligence Assessment, Priorities and Knowing that you are Being Warned
- 6 ‘We Never Plan for the Worst Case’: Considering the Case of Germany
- 7 Lessons Learned and Still to be Learned: The Case of the European Union
- 8 Which Lessons to Learn from an Era of Surprise? Key Findings and Implications from the Dual Comparison
- References
- Index
Index
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 21 October 2023
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- Acknowledgements
- Introduction: Estimative Intelligence and Anticipatory Foreign Policy
- 1 Expectations from Estimative Intelligence and Anticipatory Foreign Policy: A Realistic Appraisal
- 2 Surprise, Revisited: An EU Performance Evaluation of the Arab Uprisings
- 3 How Germany and the UK Anticipated ISIS’s Rise to Power in Syria and Iraq
- 4 The Case of the Ukraine—Russia Undeclared War 2013/2014: Lessons for the EU’s Estimative Intelligence
- 5 The Case of the UK: Intelligence Assessment, Priorities and Knowing that you are Being Warned
- 6 ‘We Never Plan for the Worst Case’: Considering the Case of Germany
- 7 Lessons Learned and Still to be Learned: The Case of the European Union
- 8 Which Lessons to Learn from an Era of Surprise? Key Findings and Implications from the Dual Comparison
- References
- Index
Summary
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Estimative Intelligence in European Foreign PolicymakingLearning Lessons from an Era of Surprise, pp. 329 - 351Publisher: Edinburgh University PressPrint publication year: 2022